Iran Hates Israel. Well, Duh.
By Callimachus | Related entries in Foreign Policy, In The News, The War On Terrorism, The WorldThis conversation actually took place in January, and I wrote about it then. The context was U.S. spying on Iran’s nuclear program. At the time, that revelation was greeted with outrage. Some of the most outraged nations and individuals, however, have been unusually quiet in recent days as Iran got itself back into the headlines.
Frankly, the current indignation in places like Europe over Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s remarks puzzles me. It’s been part of Iran’s official rhetoric for years. Are most people really just discovering this now? Have they been hearing “Bush is the number one terrorist, America is the real problem” for so long they’ve actually started to believe it?
A two-pronged approach to Iran could be effective, if the U.S. and Europe can cooperate long enough to work it. But the Anglo-Franco-German diplomatic approach will work only because there’s a serious U.S. threat lurking on the other side of the room. Otherwise, it’s all carrot and no stick.
I don’t relish my nation in the bad cop role. But I do like the idea that the rulers of Syria and Iran, and the Glorious Leader of North Korea, awake in a cold sweat at midnight, with nightmares of the U.S. military.
My European friend, however, disagrees.
“I consider scaring people (regimes etc) both a fairly useless and a dangerous thing. Applying pressure, that’s a different thing. That is something with clear aims and best done within some kind of framework constructed. There will be rules and procedures and the players will be able to judge the situation and the positions and act accordingly.”
But it doesn’t work that way. To be effective, the “bad cop” in the play has to create, in the mind of his suspect, the idea that anything might happen. That anything can happen. He’s outside the framework. It’s the impression that’s effective, of course, not the fact of going completely apeshit on somebody. Fear of violence can be an effective tool. Violence is a crappy choice you make when the alternatives all are worse.
“I can see no effort [by the U.S.] at dealing with the distrust and insecurity they are sowing.” And again: “It is the USA who is polarizing things so much. Who brings in a major destabilizing element.”
He tells me that, if we soften our tough-guy posture toward Iran, their leaders will stop chanting “Death to America.” Somehow I should accept that the mullahs — with a restless young population, high unemployment, economic stagnation — would give up blaming everything on America when even Europe hasn’t given that up.
Sometimes he writes as though he thinks everyone loved America before we made the mistake of electing that awful George Bush. But he has written, at other times, that we’re just always going to be hated, because we’re the world’s empire du jour, the biggest and generally most successful military and cultural force on the planet. Which I think is more accurate.
Europeans complain loud and long that George W. Bush just isn’t a diplomat. They say he doesn’t say the right things. And even when he does say them, he manages to say them in an offensive way. He just doesn’t pay enough attention to the forms of diplomacy to suit Europeans.
I have just three words to say to that:
DEATH. TO. AMERICA.
Heard that before? When the Iranian parliament went into session for the year on May 28, all the delegates got up and chanted that, chanted it in unison, hard-liners and reformers alike.
“Death to America.” That chant has been heard since 1979. And it’s been acted out often in that interval.
The election in Iran was highly fractious. The hard-liners manipulated the process to marginalize the reformers. As soon as the gavel came down, independents and the hard-liners started squabbling.
“To cool down the atmosphere, some deputies proposed anti-American slogans be shouted loudly. His suggestion was immediately welcomed with a big ‘death to America’ from the audience.”
Just think about that. They can’t agree on anything else, but to restore unity, they reach out for the one thing they have in common:
DEATH. TO. AMERICA.
Some groups, when they want to establish collective harmony, sing “Kum-ba-ya.” Now, if you don’t like Mr. Bush’s rhetoric — after all, he slipped up once and used the awful word “crusade” — think how you would feel if every day the U.S. Congress opened its sessions with mass chants of “Death to France!” Democrats and Republicans shouting themselves hoarse with equal enthusiasm.
I’ve come to realize that many Europeans think it would be a good thing if Iran got a nuclear arsenal, because, as my friend puts it, “Israel wouldn’t be happy to have to deal with Iran on equal terms, but frankly this might even benefit the region.” He thinks it would make the Mideast, and the world, more stable.
“It will force everybody to the tables. They won’t have any other chance than to find a modus vivendi.”
News flash: Iran doesn’t want Israel at the table. It wants Israel buried 6 feet under the soil, in an unmarked grave.
Here are three more words:
DEATH. TO. ISRAEL.
Have you ever heard of “Jerusalem Day?” Every year Iran celebrates Jerusalem Day on the last day of Ramadan. Top officials in Teheran officiate in a “holiday” whose main themes are “the annihilation of Israel, increasing the aid for the violent Palestinian armed insurrection, total rejection of any political solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and provoking hatred for the United States.”
If the polls are to be believed, Germans, along with most Western Europeans, consider the United States and Israel a greater threat to world peace than Iran or North Korea. I suspect the dirty secret is, many people in Europe, including many in power, don’t think it’s a tragedy if Iran gets the bomb. In fact, Europe rather likes the idea.
DEATH. TO. ISRAEL.
That way Iran can wipe the grin off Sharon’s face. Europe would like that, yeah!
And we’re trusting them to negotiate with the mullahs?
DEATH. TO. AMERICA.
I asked my European friend, “If there was no U.S. in the world, would Iran still be trying to get the bomb?”
“Sure it would. It might even have it already. At the same time Iran would be a lot less of a danger to the world than it is now.”
I told him, “I doubt Israel would agree with that. I doubt Iraq would, either.”
But he says Iran has a right to be afraid of Iraq, because Iraq has attacked it in the past, and of Israel because “Israel is a country that insists on semi-secretely owning nuclear weapons, without becoming party to international treaties and agreements.”
Israel has nukes, that’s an open secret. Do Europeans really fret over that? Do they think Israel’s going to lob one into Paris someday, just for the hell of it? Do they not think, as I do, that Israel wants this ultimate deterrent because they live in a, what is it?, 19-mile wide strip of hillside beset by enemies on all sides who perpetually vow to drive Israel into the sea and kill or enslave all the Jews?
We’re talking about the ultimate weapons here. Better off if they never existed, but they do. The genie doesn’t go back in the bottle. Yet there seems to be a view at work in Europe that regards possession of nukes as a natural right, at least of every nation that claims to feel threatened by Uncle Sam.
Seriously, now, isn’t that like arguing that all your neighbors have a right to own automatic sub-machine guns? Doesn’t matter if they’re decent folk or hallucinating drug addicts or hardened criminals or decent folk who have the bad habit of leaving their doors unlocked and getting robbed by psychopaths.
Even in the U.S., where gun ownership is a constitutional right (and the Europeans think we’re dingbats for that), not everyone can own one. Hell, you can’t even drive a car without taking a test and getting an official certification that you know how to drive a car. But they seem to seriously want to hand out nukes to everyone who’s afraid of Israel.
If I have to, I can accept these ultimate weapons in the hands of the Soviet Union, the U.S., Britain, India, modern China, France: more or less stable, conservative, secular, self-interested states. The dreadful balance of power implied in “mutually assured destruction” was sufficient to restrain the Cold War powers when simple human sanity was not. Even without the threat of retaliation, they operate with sufficient restraint. In 1982, a nuclear power, Great Britain, went to war. Nobody worried that Thatcher would nuke Buenos Aires.
But we’re talking about Iran. We’re talking about a nation whose leadership class considers suicide attacks not just an acceptable tactic but a religious duty. A country whose quasi-independent military openly recruits its citizens to be car-bombers to kill foreign construction workers building sewage plants in Iraq, or blow up Israeli buses full of school children.
Who is America to decide who can have nukes and who can’t? Nobody — and everybody. I have no problem living in a world where the grown-ups decide who gets to have nuclear weapons and who doesn’t.
And if much of Old Europe chooses a slow suicide by uberfremdung, by indifference to its children, by blind trusting pacifism in a jungle-world, then I am not interested in having that part of the world make the safety choices for the rest of us.
We do not accept an Iran armed with nuclear weapons. We prefer to resolve that situation by diplomacy. But we’re not limited to that approach. Keeping the most harsh military options on the table, as the U.S. administration has done, gives us the maximum possible degree of flexibility.
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October 28th, 2005 at 7:08 pm
Israel’s Preemptive Strike on Iran
AubreyJ’s short and not so sweet version…
I would think that this is pretty much how all of this will go down…
Let’s go straight to the Trigger Point… The endgame is going to be when Israel sees the moment of no return. When it sees its very survival at risk. At that moment when all talks between the Western World and Iran have completely failed, (like it’s doing now) and Iran has finally come up with everything necessary to make a deliverable nuclear weapon… at this point and probably not to far off in the future, Israel will feel compelled to strike. And so they will… And when the dust all clears… It will take this country to clean up the political mess left over from this inevitable upcoming strike… Bottom line is Iran will never- ever be allowed to have Nuclear Weapons… And the clock is winding down fast…
AubreyJ………
October 28th, 2005 at 7:46 pm
Do the Europeans delude themselves into thinking the Iranians don’t actually mean what they say and that it’s all just a meaningless macho rhetorical display? Or do the Europeans assume that the Iranians actually do mean what they say and the Europeans just don’t care all that much–except, of course, for mounting their own meaningless rhetorical displays?
Either way, it’s dangerous.
October 28th, 2005 at 8:09 pm
There appears to be a death wish involved. See The Christian Prophet blog:
http://christianprophecy.blogspot.com/
October 28th, 2005 at 9:09 pm
Probably too much is made of the centrality of martyrdom in the Shi’ite system of faith. But probably, too, there’s a grain of truth to it, and its influence on the political culture of Shi’ite lands. In thinking about the current Iranian president, I recalled a passage from Ken Pollack’s book on the U.S. and Iran, “The Persian Puzzle,” at the end of his chapter on the 1953 coup:
October 28th, 2005 at 10:44 pm
Its easy to say we can stop iran from making nuclear weapons. Its EASY because were thousands of miles away and only the armed forces will have to deal with it right away. But take this into acount, Iraq attacked Iran when the Iraqi army was nearing its peak. Iran stopped them dead in there tracks to Suddams utter shock. NOW, iran has missles that can reach parts of europe and all of the middle east. Iraq and afganistan were easy, The taliban wasnt a organized government run army, and iraq was a skelaton of what it used to be. Right now iran is more powerful then iraq was at its peak, if we attack iran they could push atleast - ATLEAST 10 miles into iraq. We only have 120,000-150,000 troops in iraq at any given time. Iran could DOUBLE this number, systematicly taking out every carrier in the persian gulf, every american army base in the middle east and in Europe. Would they lose the war? Yes. We have such an advanced air force we could bomb them relentlessly for weeks and “liberate” the Iranians too.
Isreal WILL attack iran befor we do. Does anybody remember the 6 day war? If the Isreali government thinks a Isreali Iran conflict is enevediable they will strike first and try to do as much damage as possible. If iran wants to attack isreal by ground it would have to either go across iraq (it could cut through american troops, outnumbering “patrols” with HUGE armored divisions. Or go through turkey and down through syria. We have the technological advantage but that can only get you so far. Going to war with iran would be devistating for america, the 2,000 we have lost in iraq could be a montly death toll. Iran DOES have ties to terrorist network (unlike iraq) and could step up supplies to fighters in afganistan and iraq (rocket propelled gernades). Kind of like what we did to the soviets when they were in afganistan.
its foolish to think its our fault the middle east is fucked up, its been fucked up for thousands of years. However the mistake was not adding violence, it was involving ourself. After 9/11 we should have built up the CIA assasinated every al-queda member we could find and build the Trade towers two times the size they used to be. THAT would be saying YOU CANT STOP US.
October 28th, 2005 at 11:28 pm
I think people are making a big deal about this because, according to Israeli statements to the UN Security council anyway, it’s the first time in the history of the United Nations that the head of a state (as opposed to a civilian or other politican) has called for the complete destruction of another UN member. It’s not so much the sentiment that’s a shock, it’s the source and the baldness of it.
October 29th, 2005 at 6:44 am
Satori is on to something. Disarming Iran would be a huge military task and neither the US nor Israel are up to it. It is very important to understand that public opinion in the US is probably now not much different from public opinion in Europe. If 2,000 dead are too many to achieve the first democratic Arab state in world history while taking out a depraved dictator who warred on his neighbors and subsidized suicide bombers, then count the US out. American media and elites are going to take the European position that while Iran is a serious threat to Israel, it is no threat to us, and, besides, the Israelis are arrogant. Let us pray that the Iranian people can get their act together and overthrow the mullahs.
October 31st, 2005 at 12:13 pm
The main question in my mind is, who will hit the big red button first? I’m almost certain that without extreme intervention (which may not even be possible) that either or both of Israel and Iran will probably be radioactive craters by 2020. I’m guessing that Iran will push it first, but probably Israel will still be able to respond with deadly force.
Ahh, the world we live in. Anyone selling real estate on the moon yet?
October 31st, 2005 at 7:17 pm
[...] I was wondering about the apparent surprise in European and U.N. high offices over the Iranian president’s recent casual statement that Israel ought to be wiped off the map — didn’t they realize Iran has been saying that for years. [...]
March 12th, 2006 at 11:01 pm
Why do all these arab/muslim countries hate Israel. Maybe we should explore the underlying reasons before we go to war. The reason they hate Israel is the reason they hate the US (Israel’s best friends). If the reason is religious, then we should realize that we are taking sides in a religious war, or crusade. If it is a religious war, then it is between Israel and its enemies. Why not address those issues, instead of blindly siding with Israel. Americans ask “why do they hate us?”. Maybe this is why. Maybe this is why 9/11 happened. Maybe we should understand what we are getting into before we go.