Comments on: Does A 3rd Party Ticket Really Have A Shot? http://donklephant.com/2007/08/06/does-a-3rd-party-ticket-really-have-a-shot/ Big Teeth. Huge Ass. Surprisingly Reasonable. Mon, 23 Nov 2009 16:24:43 -0800 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 By: sleipner http://donklephant.com/2007/08/06/does-a-3rd-party-ticket-really-have-a-shot/comment-page-1/#comment-380190 sleipner Tue, 07 Aug 2007 00:31:39 +0000 http://donklephant.com/2007/08/06/does-a-3rd-party-ticket-really-have-a-shot/#comment-380190 The biggest problem with a third party candidate is that the electoral system is not designed to have more than two candidates. If Bloomberg, for example, takes a few big states he could easily screw up either of the other two candidates, depending on whether that state usually leans slightly left or right. Since he's Republican, theoretically he's more likely to take red states, but since he's somewhat socially liberal, he may appeal better to republicans in more moderate states. Basically if he's in the running, it's REALLY tough to figure out how it would swing the race, or if he would even possible win. Especially since he would likely spend a few billion of his own money on the race. The biggest problem with a third party candidate is that the electoral system is not designed to have more than two candidates. If Bloomberg, for example, takes a few big states he could easily screw up either of the other two candidates, depending on whether that state usually leans slightly left or right.

Since he’s Republican, theoretically he’s more likely to take red states, but since he’s somewhat socially liberal, he may appeal better to republicans in more moderate states. Basically if he’s in the running, it’s REALLY tough to figure out how it would swing the race, or if he would even possible win. Especially since he would likely spend a few billion of his own money on the race.

]]> By: Adam Herman http://donklephant.com/2007/08/06/does-a-3rd-party-ticket-really-have-a-shot/comment-page-1/#comment-380174 Adam Herman Mon, 06 Aug 2007 20:01:41 +0000 http://donklephant.com/2007/08/06/does-a-3rd-party-ticket-really-have-a-shot/#comment-380174 I think it's inaccurate to say that Clinton's floor is 40%. I'd say closer to 35%. The Republicans' floor is as low as 25% at this point. So from a pure numbers standpoint, at least by my figuring, Bloomberg could win if he won just about every available voter that wasn't already committed to one of the major party candidates. I think it’s inaccurate to say that Clinton’s floor is 40%. I’d say closer to 35%. The Republicans’ floor is as low as 25% at this point. So from a pure numbers standpoint, at least by my figuring, Bloomberg could win if he won just about every available voter that wasn’t already committed to one of the major party candidates.

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