Comments on: CNN Poll Shows Democrats Tie In Texas

By: ExiledIndependent

ExiledIndependent — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 23:04:54 +0000

Justin, what are your thoughts on these polls in general at this point? It seems like there has been a pretty big gap between polling prior to the primaries and the actual results. Just seems hard to believe that Obama isn’t going to enjoy the same mass support that he’s been seeing elsewhere….

By: Leon

Leon — Tue, 19 Feb 2008 19:23:21 +0000

More recent Survey USA poll released Feb 18th shows HRC by 5 points in TX. The CNN poll is the only one within the margin so far – it is old. Why are the cables recycling this old news?

By: Taylor

Taylor — Tue, 19 Feb 2008 15:27:34 +0000

One element the people who come up with the stats may not have figured is that Texas has an open primary. Republicans can vote in the primary for democrats…… and they will. In fact many people are encouraging the republicans to vote for Obama simply because we hate Hillary so much.

By: TheMiddle

TheMiddle — Tue, 19 Feb 2008 01:32:47 +0000

Indeed. Really, for Obama at this point, its just about making it close. I deally he can win somehow. But even if he cant – if he can keep it within 8-10 points, he’s ok. He just cant get blown out. If he holds Hillary to wins of under 15-20% in the last big 3 states, he’ll win barring superdelegates stealing this election – which I dont see happening.

By: Jim S

Jim S — Tue, 19 Feb 2008 01:23:18 +0000

It’s even more complex than that with the rules for apportioning delegates that Texas uses.

By: Technoman

Technoman — Tue, 19 Feb 2008 01:22:25 +0000

This old bag (HRC) needs to go.

By: TheMiddle

TheMiddle — Tue, 19 Feb 2008 01:15:16 +0000

Just like he was ahead in Hew Hampshire. And just like he had pulled ahead at the last moment in some polls in California. I’m an Obamanite, but I’ll count my chickens when my eggs hatch.