Comments on: Semi-Live Coverage Of Democratic Primaries Tonight

By: Tony

Tony — Wed, 05 Mar 2008 02:21:30 +0000

It would be so amazing if she had to spin Rhode Island- the smallest state in the nation- as the only state that counts. Still, not holding my breath.

By: mw

mw — Tue, 04 Mar 2008 23:42:09 +0000

Clinton wins Ohio by 5

Clinton wins Texas popular vote by 2 (but loses delegates - thereby supporting the argument that pledged delegates are undemocratic and it is perfectly legitimate for them to be over-ridden by superdelegates)

VT and RI - who cares?

By: kritter

kritter — Tue, 04 Mar 2008 23:11:24 +0000

My gut tells me that late deciders are going to break towards Hillary in the wake of weak but effective anti-Obama vibes. But that might be because I’ve spent the last couple days on the computer with cable news running in the background.

If I had to bet, I’d bet Hillary wins the pop vote in Texas by a hair.

Everything else will probably come out as polls have suggested…big Obama win in hippie Vermont, comfortable Clinton win in machine Rhode Island, 5ish point Clinton win on Ohio, where she has apparently never trailed.

FWIW, I think Clinton has a fair case for staying in if she wins the Texas pop vote. Then she has enough mo to catch up a little bit by attrition and then mount a plausible convention fight.

She’ll probably stay in even if she splits Texas and Ohio, but the unfavorable mathematics will quickly become apparent because she won’t have enough mo to pick up the majority of Ws prior to Pennsylvania.