Poll: Hillary Up By 12 In Pennsylvania
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Pennsylvania, PollsARG has the numbers from before…
Mar 7-8
Clinton: 52%
Obama: 41%
Other: 1%
Undecided: 6%
And after…
Mar 26-27
Clinton: 51%
Obama: 39%
Other: 2%
Undecided: 8%
Also, here’s the trend graph from Pollster:

Long story short, there’s not a ton of change here. Not sure what that means right now. I can see this as good for Clinton, but I also think the Wright controversy would have impacted Obama’s numbers more here.
This entry was posted on Saturday, March 29th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Pennsylvania, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.









March 29th, 2008 at 3:15 pm
Like I’ve already said a bunch of times, it seems like each candidate’s win pattern is going to endure. Clinton wins the big machine states as Obama closes late but can’t seal the deal. Obama wins the smaller and caucus states, the ones with many black voters, and so on.
I agree that it’s surprising that that the Wright story hasn’t impacted Obama very much. I expect Hillary to hang on for about a 10 pt win in PA. And then I expect her to fade. Obama is bouncing back in the recent state-by-states pretty strongly and showing much better results than Hillary in the hypothetical fall match-up polls.
Immediately after PA, look for Hillary to pump up the volume, call in all favors, lean on all her go-to buddies, and pull out all the stops on the FL/MI issue. I had hoped for do-overs as the least crappy solution, and now that those don’t look like they’ll happen, I can’t envision what kind of resolution would be fair to both candidates and to both states.