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Rasmussen: Hillary Leads By 5 In Pennsylvania

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Pennsylvania, Polls

With 7 percent undecided, she has the advantage 49 to 45.

Overall, in the Keystone State, Clinton is now viewed favorably by 71% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters. Obama gets favorable reviews from 69%. Clintonâ€™s favorable ratings in the state peaked in early March at 77%. Obamaâ€™s peaked in late March at 73%.

This is the fifth straight Rasmussen Reports poll of the race to show Clinton with a single-digit lead. In all five polls, Clintonâ€™s support has been between 47% and 50% while Obamaâ€™s range has been from 41% to 44%. The demographic make-up of the state seems to favor Clinton, which has enabled her to retain a modest lead despite being significantly outspent by the Obama campaign.

And in an interesting twist, Rasmussen gives a caveat to their primary season…

It is far more challenging to project turnout in a Primary Election than a General Election.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of this survey sample are women, 42% men.

Eleven percent (11%) are under 30 and 57% are over 50.

Eighty-two percent (82%) are White and 15% African-American.

Twenty-six percent (26%) make $75,000 per year or more.

The degree to which actual turnout varies from these figures could have a significant impact on the final results.

That’s certainly curious. Does this mean they’re not confident in these numbers? After all, does anybody think that women will outnumber men by 16%? Or that only 11% will be under 50?

More as it develops…

This entry was posted on Monday, April 21st, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Pennsylvania, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

One Response to “Rasmussen: Hillary Leads By 5 In Pennsylvania”

Erik Sickinger Says:
April 21st, 2008 at 11:51 pm
Thatâ€™s certainly curious. Does this mean theyâ€™re not confident in these numbers? After all, does anybody think that women will outnumber men by 16%? Or that only 11% will be under 50?

its 11% under 30- and yes, definately possible.

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