With 84% In, Hillary Hits 10% Threshold
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, PennsylvaniaThis is the homestretch and if she can hold this, she might just be able to get the double digits she needed out of PA.
Some realities…
- 97% of Philadelphia county has reported their results, so it’s unlikely Obama will gain much from his biggest support base in the state.
- Lehigh county has only reported 60% so far, and they’re looking at another 30,000 votes coming in…which are breaking 76/24 for Hill.
- Fayette County probably has another 13,000 votes coming in, and they’re breaking for Hill 80/20.
- The big question mark is Chester county, which I think is considered an affluent suburb of Philadelphia. In fact, it’s the richest place in PA. None of the vote has been reported there. Why? I have no idea, but that could provide Obama some cover if these wealthy voters break for him.
Still, the delegate split as it stands now is Clinton/Obama - 40/37.
More as it develops…
UPDATE:
No sooner do I post this about Chester county, and now we have some votes coming in…and it looks like it’s breaking for Obama.
With 21% of the vote counted, or 13,000 votes, Obama is ahead 54/46.
Another good sign…Dauphin county has only reported 71% or 23,000, and Obama is leading there 62/38.
UPDATE:
MSNBC says the delegate split is currently Clinton/Obama - 75/65.
April 22nd, 2008 at 9:36 pm
Justin: Still think my criticism of the PPP polling is way off base?
Hey, they were only off by 13%!