It’s Obama/Clinton, 49/44.
The common trend in all of these North Carolina polls is Clinton is closing the gap. By how much we can’t be sure, but this doesn’t look like it’s going to be the big win that Obama had hoped he would get.
From the poll:
In SurveyUSA last four polls, over the past two months, [...]

His numbers are holding steady, but there are warning signs on the horizon…
The Democratic Presidential Nomination remains stable. It’s Obama 49%, Clinton 41%
Rasmussen Markets data, however, shows Obama’s chances for winning the nomination have slipped four percentage points since yesterday. Currently, the frontrunner is given a 74.0 % chance of victory.
Data from the [...]

It’s currently Obama/Clinton, 51/37. However, his lead has dropped by 9 points since the last time they polled when he lead by 23.
Also, the demographics look nearly identical to those in other contests…
Clinton leads by fifteen points among White voters while Obama leads 80% to 11% among African-Americans. Clinton does well among White Women and [...]

Which is still a tie, but it mirrors what happened 10 days ago when Hillary took a brief 1 point lead and then Obama climbed back above 50%.

The details…
This marks the fifth consecutive Gallup Poll Daily tracking report in which the two Democratic candidates have been within a point of one another, as well [...]

After yesterday’s performance by the reverend, you knew it had to be coming. And while this isn’t the same as throwing Wright under the bus, it does suggest that Obama understands how far off the reservation his former pastor’s views are.
From TPM comes this from Obama:
The person I saw yesterday was not the person that [...]

And Clinton’s gains in Pennsylvania continue to dwindle.
First, a key endorsement from Kentucky congressman Ben Chandler…
Chandler will announce his support for Obama at a midday news conference in downtown Louisville. Chandler represents a central Kentucky district and carries one of the most famous names in Kentucky politics.
The endorsement means Obama will have the backing of [...]

That’s the math from CQ Politics:
There are 72 pledged delegates at stake in the Indiana primary, along with 13 of those officially unpledged party leaders and elected officials known as “superdelegates.” Of those 72 pledged delegates, 47 are allocated among the state’s nine congressional districts and will be apportioned between Clinton and Obama based on [...]

Yet another story that proves Pennsylvania meant a lot to the media, but little to the math.
Charlie Cook breaks it down…
Almost half of the delegate advantage she netted against Obama in Pennsylvania was offset by losses of superdelegates the same week. Colby College political scientist and delegate selection expert Anthony Corrado estimates that Clinton [...]

As if this any surprise, but seriously…how many of these stories will we have to endure? And I have to think that even more will be coming out after Bush and company leave office.
From Reuters:
The former chief prosecutor for the Guantanamo war crimes tribunals testified on Monday that the tribunals were tainted by political influence [...]

Ambinder thinks it’s Bush’s doing:
A potential objection: that old canard, that young people are liberal and become more conservative? The historical data doesn’t support it. When Bill Clinton was elected, a plurality of people under 30 identified themselves as Republicans. Same thing when Ronald Reagan was elected.
Politically, today’s cohort of 18-to-29 year olds came [...]

He spoke about his pastor problems today:
“I think people will understand that I am not perfect and that there are going to be folks in my past like Rev. Wright that may cause them some concern but that ultimately my 20 years of service and the values that I’ve written about and spoken about and [...]

And that means another superdelegate for Obama.
From NY Times:
Sen. Barack Obama officially pulled ahead today in the scramble for endorsements from colleagues in the U.S. Senate, thanks to Sen. Jeff Bingaman of New Mexico.
Never one of the Senate’s most high-profile members, Bingaman now has a claim to political fame: He put Obama over the top [...]

O.k., not in an official capacity. But The Architect has seen fit to offer Barack Obama advice as to how to turn around his campaign and start appealing to more than just the so-called white wine sippers and college students. He has six suggestions which I’ve abbreviated here:
1. Update and reinvigorate your stump speech.
2. When [...]

It’s not official yet, but this from the AP:
RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) – A person close to North Carolina Gov. Mike Easley tells The Associated Press he will endorse Hillary Rodham Clinton for president.
Easley is a Democratic superdelegate who has served as the state’s governor for two terms. His decision comes despite several recent polls showing [...]

First off, it’s important to make sure the media doesn’t spin Indiana as being Obama country. It’s not. In fact, SurveyUSA has shown Hillary consistently leading in the state.
Here’s more:
In a Democratic Primary in Indiana today, 04/28/08, 8 days until votes are counted, Hillary Clinton finishes ahead of Barack Obama, according to a SurveyUSA poll [...]

American Research Group shows the race tightening by one point since last week.
April 14 – 15
Obama – 52%
Clinton – 41%
April 26 – 27
Obama – 52%
Clinton – 42%
Here’s how those numbers break…
Register Dems – 83% of voters
Obama – 51%
Clinton – 43%
Unaffiliated – 17% of voters
Obama – 58%
Clinton – 35%
So yet another poll shows Obama leading among [...]

Warren Buffett knows a thing or two about money, so when he says we’re entering a bad recession, there’s reason to pay attention. Buffett said:
[M]y general feeling is that the recession will be longer and deeper than most people think. This will not be short and shallow. I think consumers are feeling gas and food [...]

One thing’s for sure…whoever is the Dem nominee in the Fall (coughObamacough), they’ll have a lot of motivated Dems behind them.
From Wash Post:
RALEIGH, N.C. — They lined up shoulder to shoulder inside the gray high-rise downtown, their politics as diverse as their backgrounds. An ex-felon who needs health insurance, followed by a high school student [...]

This is one of those things that should be obvious, but it takes a guy from OPEC to state it outright that we can actually have a say in how much we pay for oil.
From NY Times:
ALGIERS (Reuters) – OPEC President Chakib Khelil does not rule out oil prices reaching $200 a barrel, even though [...]

For the 3rd day in a row, they’re locked up.
Of note, her post-PA momentum did not give her any sort of national lead, which suggests that there’s a bit of a ceiling in these numbers. Obama can’t crack 51% and Hillary can’t really crack 47%.

The details…
The race has been stable at a virtual dead [...]