Comments on: Rasmussen: Obama’s Lead Cut To Single Digits In North Carolina http://donklephant.com/2008/05/02/rasmussen-obamas-lead-cut-to-single-digits-in-north-carolina/ Big Teeth. Huge Ass. Surprisingly Reasonable. Fri, 05 Sep 2008 04:29:47 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6.1 By: Mike in NYC http://donklephant.com/2008/05/02/rasmussen-obamas-lead-cut-to-single-digits-in-north-carolina/#comment-401475 Mike in NYC Sat, 03 May 2008 16:44:18 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=5430#comment-401475 Justin Gardner wrote: "Hillary needs to win these contests by big margins in order to make up the pledged delegate difference." If Obama’s demographics remain where they are, the supers will realize that he is unelectable, and will throw their weight behind HRC. "Because one way or another, she’s going to have to get 70% of the remaining pledged delegates ..." Clearly, that won’t happen. "… or 70% or the remaining superdelegates." See above. The probable result will be a HRC/BO ticket. "This “Hillary has a shot” meme is a creation of the Clinton campaign ..." The "race doesn't matter" meme is a creation of the cultural mandarins that presume to do our thinking for us. "There’s no mention of the fact that Obama cut her lead from 20 points to just under 10." A 20% victory margin in PA was simply not conceivable. The 10% (okay, 9.2%) result was consistent with Ohio. Justin Gardner wrote:

“Hillary needs to win these contests by big margins in order to make up the pledged delegate difference.”

If Obama’s demographics remain where they are, the supers will realize that he is unelectable, and will throw their weight behind HRC.

“Because one way or another, she’s going to have to get 70% of the remaining pledged delegates …”

Clearly, that won’t happen.

“… or 70% or the remaining superdelegates.”

See above.

The probable result will be a HRC/BO ticket.

“This “Hillary has a shot” meme is a creation of the Clinton campaign …”

The “race doesn’t matter” meme is a creation of the cultural mandarins that presume to do our thinking for us.

“There’s no mention of the fact that Obama cut her lead from 20 points to just under 10.”

A 20% victory margin in PA was simply not conceivable. The 10% (okay, 9.2%) result was consistent with Ohio.

]]> By: Justin Gardner http://donklephant.com/2008/05/02/rasmussen-obamas-lead-cut-to-single-digits-in-north-carolina/#comment-400759 Justin Gardner Sat, 03 May 2008 04:12:03 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=5430#comment-400759 <blockquote>A single-digit margin for BO in NC would be a victory for HRC.</blockquote> Hillary needs to win these contests by big margins in order to make up the pledged delegate difference. She can't keep swapping delegate counts with Obama and keeping that margin at 130 or so. Because one way or another, she's going to have to get 70% of the remaining pledged delegates or 70% or the remaining superdelegates. Do you really think that's likely? This "Hillary has a shot" meme is a creation of the Clinton campaign and is being pushed by the media because it's easy for them to do it given her recent victory. There's no mention of the fact that Obama cut her lead from 20 points to just under 10. But hey, it's a good story, right?

A single-digit margin for BO in NC would be a victory for HRC.

Hillary needs to win these contests by big margins in order to make up the pledged delegate difference. She can’t keep swapping delegate counts with Obama and keeping that margin at 130 or so. Because one way or another, she’s going to have to get 70% of the remaining pledged delegates or 70% or the remaining superdelegates. Do you really think that’s likely?

This “Hillary has a shot” meme is a creation of the Clinton campaign and is being pushed by the media because it’s easy for them to do it given her recent victory. There’s no mention of the fact that Obama cut her lead from 20 points to just under 10. But hey, it’s a good story, right?

]]> By: Jerry Pomeroy http://donklephant.com/2008/05/02/rasmussen-obamas-lead-cut-to-single-digits-in-north-carolina/#comment-400648 Jerry Pomeroy Fri, 02 May 2008 23:39:31 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=5430#comment-400648 Any chance of getting the Reverend Jeremiah Wright in the spotlight again? Actually, I think a panel show, maybe Larry King, with Wright, Rezko, and Ayers ought to do the trick. Should presidential candidates be judged by the company they keep? Absolutely. Can McCain beat Hillary? Hmmmm... Any chance of getting the Reverend Jeremiah Wright in the spotlight again? Actually, I think a panel show, maybe Larry King, with Wright, Rezko, and Ayers ought to do the trick. Should presidential candidates be judged by the company they keep? Absolutely. Can McCain beat Hillary? Hmmmm…

]]> By: Mike in NYC http://donklephant.com/2008/05/02/rasmussen-obamas-lead-cut-to-single-digits-in-north-carolina/#comment-400642 Mike in NYC Fri, 02 May 2008 23:32:14 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=5430#comment-400642 If pre-PA demographics were to hold, Obama would be expected to win NC by 12 or more points. Since it doesn't look like that will happen, he's in trouble. A single-digit margin for BO in NC would be a victory for HRC. Should that be partnered with a Clinton victory in IN, the remaining superdelegates will have some serious soul-searching on their plates. If pre-PA demographics were to hold, Obama would be expected to win NC by 12 or more points.

Since it doesn’t look like that will happen, he’s in trouble.

A single-digit margin for BO in NC would be a victory for HRC.

Should that be partnered with a Clinton victory in IN, the remaining superdelegates will have some serious soul-searching on their plates.

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