“I’m taking Zogby with a grain of salt once again. But he has been fairly accurate after Super Tuesday, so take that for what it’s worth.”

Actually, Zogby had Ohio as a dead heat, which was a pretty big miss. So, with that wild swing in one day, I think that grain of salt is in order. I might believe it if Zogby showed some drop in the undecideds – but he didn’t. It is just not believable that many people changed sides in one day. The poll is flawed.

I’ll take a guess at this based on the RCP average, and assuming that 70%+ of the undecideds break for Clinton. Obama supporters made up their mind early.

NC
RCP Avg: O-50% C-42% U-8%
MW Predicts: O-52% C-48%

IN
RCP Avg: O-44% C-49% U-7%
MW Pedicts: O-46% C-54%

Net-net: Both candidates hold serve, bu questions about Obama remain. Super Delegates remain frozen – well more like slushy. Perhaps a continuing slow drip for Obama, which means he can still run out the clock. Clinton will still has a compelling argument for the Supes, which is all that matters now. She will likely finish in June with more people having voted for her across the entire process when all the counting is done.

Oregon may be critical. Obama has the lead and should win there, bu if Clinton can knock him off in Oregon, panic will strike the supes. Clinton could make Oregon competitive.