Comments on: Who’s NOT Talking About the Vice Presidency This Week http://donklephant.com/2008/06/02/whos-not-talking-about-the-vice-presidency-this-week/ Big Teeth. Huge Ass. Surprisingly Reasonable. Sun, 22 Nov 2009 23:08:28 -0800 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 By: wj http://donklephant.com/2008/06/02/whos-not-talking-about-the-vice-presidency-this-week/comment-page-1/#comment-408823 wj Tue, 03 Jun 2008 02:00:45 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=5870#comment-408823 Let's see...19 instances where they didn't help; 31 instances where they did. Makes a total of 50...out of 25 elections. What am I missing here? Let’s see…19 instances where they didn’t help; 31 instances where they did. Makes a total of 50…out of 25 elections. What am I missing here?

]]> By: Graham Lampa http://donklephant.com/2008/06/02/whos-not-talking-about-the-vice-presidency-this-week/comment-page-1/#comment-408797 Graham Lampa Mon, 02 Jun 2008 21:32:19 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=5870#comment-408797 Further diminishing the likelihood that Pawlenty will be picked as McCain's VP is the unlikelihood that he will help the Republicans carry the state in the presidential general election. With history and polling data at his guide, Eric Ostermeier at the Hubert H. Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs gives a good rundown of Pawlenty's potential as a running mate, at least in this capacity at the <a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/oster017/smartpolitics/2008/06/would_pawlenty_deliver_minneso.html" rel="nofollow">"Smart Politics" weblog</a>. "In 25 presidential elections during the past 100 years since 1908, the presidential tickets have not carried the running mate’s home state in 19 instances (38 percent). The most recent example is Democrat John Edwards who failed to carry North Carolina for John Kerry in 2004. Of the 31 instances in which the running mate won their home state, more than two-thirds were in states that the VP’s party had already won during the previous presidential election. For example, VP nominee Dick Cheney and George W. Bush won Wyoming in 2000, but Republicans had already carried the Cowboy State in every presidential election year since Richard Nixon’s victory in 1968." Further diminishing the likelihood that Pawlenty will be picked as McCain’s VP is the unlikelihood that he will help the Republicans carry the state in the presidential general election.

With history and polling data at his guide, Eric Ostermeier at the Hubert H. Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs gives a good rundown of Pawlenty’s potential as a running mate, at least in this capacity at the “Smart Politics” weblog.

“In 25 presidential elections during the past 100 years since 1908, the presidential tickets have not carried the running mate’s home state in 19 instances (38 percent). The most recent example is Democrat John Edwards who failed to carry North Carolina for John Kerry in 2004.

Of the 31 instances in which the running mate won their home state, more than two-thirds were in states that the VP’s party had already won during the previous presidential election. For example, VP nominee Dick Cheney and George W. Bush won Wyoming in 2000, but Republicans had already carried the Cowboy State in every presidential election year since Richard Nixon’s victory in 1968.”

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