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Gallup: 9% More Identify As Dems Than Republicans

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans

Bad news for McCain…Republican party ID seems to be at an all-time low…

What’s more, Obama leads McCain by 46% to 39% by those who identify themselves as Independents.

When all of these data for June 5-10 are put together, the overall vote pattern for this period among registered voters is a six-point margin for Obama over McCain, 48% to 42%. The margin is in Obama’s favor in part because there are more Democrats than Republicans in the sample, which helps compensate for the fact that Democrats are slightly less loyal to Obama than are Republicans to McCain. Obama’s margin is also based on Obama’s ability to swing independents slightly in his direction.

Hypothetically speaking, if there were no independents in the race, Obama would still win by a five-point margin, 49% to 44% — reflecting the higher percentage of Democratic identifiers in the voting population.

Conclusion? Obama seems to be in a good place going into the fall because even if independent support falls off he has a decent cushion.

Still, anything can happen…

This entry was posted on Thursday, June 12th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

One Response to “Gallup: 9% More Identify As Dems Than Republicans”

Robert71 Says:
June 12th, 2008 at 4:08 pm
It is a shame we did not know, 5 or 6 months ago, what we know now about Senator Obama. I’m certain if he had and his party had been honest about doing the right thing they would have told everyone his beliefs. That he also holds citizenship in Kenya and is related to known murdering muslim terrorists. He probably would not have been on the ticket. Probably would not have been elected a Senator, even from the liberal city of Chicago. Soon as the liberal, bias, media such as NBC, and CBS gets the message, you will see a dramatic and favorable increase for John McCain.

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