Rasmussen: Obama Leads By 4
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, RepublicansObama – 49%
McCain – 45%
Three straight days with the exact same result. However, if you don’t include leaners, Obama leads by 7, and he was leading by 5 yesterday. So I’m going to start including numbers with and without leaners next week.
The 5 day:
06/27/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 49%
06/26/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 49%
06/25/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 49%
06/24/2008: McCain – 44%, Obama – 49%
06/23/2008: McCain – 43%, Obama – 49%
How sure are voters with their decision? Apparently, not very…
Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters are certain they will vote for Obama and not change their mind. Thirty-three percent (33%) are just as certain they will vote for McCain.Seventy percent (70%) of Republicans are certain they will vote for McCain and 68% of Democrats say they same about Obama.
Among those not affiliated with either major party, 30% are certain to vote for McCain, 25% for Obama and 45% say they could change their mind before Election Day. Part of the reason for this extraordinary fluidity is that the candidates are relatively unknown. Another factor is that the issue array is not as settled as in recent elections.
Of note, this is one of the few polls where McCain holds a lead among independents, and since this is a daily it may be a much truer view of where these key voters stand.
More tomorrow…
This entry was posted on Friday, June 27th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
June 27th, 2008 at 1:26 pm
[...] that both Gallup and Rasmussen have shown a deadlocked race for 3 straight [...]