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	<title>Comments on: Gallup/USA Today: McCain Leads By 4 Nationally</title>
	<atom:link href="http://donklephant.com/2008/07/28/gallupusa-today-mccain-leads-by-4-nationally/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://donklephant.com/2008/07/28/gallupusa-today-mccain-leads-by-4-nationally/</link>
	<description>Big Teeth. Huge Ass. Surprisingly Reasonable.</description>
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		<title>By: Ed</title>
		<link>http://donklephant.com/2008/07/28/gallupusa-today-mccain-leads-by-4-nationally/comment-page-1/#comment-412373</link>
		<dc:creator>Ed</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Jul 2008 23:40:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://donklephant.com/?p=6481#comment-412373</guid>
		<description>This poll is worthless, and dare I say, another example of the media&#039;s bias towards a horse race.

As the Huff Post reports, according to this Gallup, 16 percent all all respondents who preferred Obama were deemed &quot;unlikely&quot; to vote, while only 2 percent of McCain voters were dropped.  Looked at another way, the preference of those polled but not counted was 61-7 for Obama.  

The more polls I see using old sampling models from years past, not giving any consideration to the overwhelming enthusiasm advantage for Obama, the more I think we are looking at a coming landslide.  The McCain supporters and his advisors seems to think that he&#039;s keeping things close, and probably relying on the Bradley effect to win a squeaker against all odds, but I think that is a serious miscalculation.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This poll is worthless, and dare I say, another example of the media&#8217;s bias towards a horse race.</p>
<p>As the Huff Post reports, according to this Gallup, 16 percent all all respondents who preferred Obama were deemed &#8220;unlikely&#8221; to vote, while only 2 percent of McCain voters were dropped.  Looked at another way, the preference of those polled but not counted was 61-7 for Obama.  </p>
<p>The more polls I see using old sampling models from years past, not giving any consideration to the overwhelming enthusiasm advantage for Obama, the more I think we are looking at a coming landslide.  The McCain supporters and his advisors seems to think that he&#8217;s keeping things close, and probably relying on the Bradley effect to win a squeaker against all odds, but I think that is a serious miscalculation.</p>
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