Rasmussen: McCain Leads By 1, Tied

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans

With leaners
McCain – 47%
Obama – 46%

Without leaners
Obama – 44%
McCain – 44%

McCain has finally taken a statistically insignificant lead, and as Rasmussen points out, this is the first time he has done this since Obama secured the nomination.

The reason? Independents…

A week ago today, Obama had a three-percentage point lead and the candidates were even among unaffiliated voters. Today, McCain leads 52% to 37% among unaffiliateds.

McCain is currently viewed favorably by 55% of the nation’s voters, Obama by 51%. That is the lowest rating for Obama since he wrapped up the nomination. Obama is viewed favorably by 83% of Democrats, 22% of Republicans, and 47% of unaffiliated voters. For McCain, the numbers are 87% favorable among Republicans, 26% among Democrats, and 61% among unaffiliated voters.

Yes folks, the attack ads are working…but for how long?

The 5 day w/leaners:
08/04/2008: McCain – 47%, Obama – 46%
08/03/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 47%
08/02/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 47%
08/01/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 47%
07/31/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 48%

The 5 day w/o leaners:
08/04/2008: McCain – 44%, Obama – 44%
08/03/2008: McCain – 43%, Obama – 44%
08/02/2008: McCain – 43%, Obama – 44%
08/01/2008: McCain – 43%, Obama – 45%
07/31/2008: McCain – 43%, Obama – 45%

More tomorrow…


This entry was posted on Monday, August 4th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

4 Responses to “Rasmussen: McCain Leads By 1, Tied”

  1. J. Harden Says:

    The “attack ads” are merely effecting the grotesque hype and political celebritism, surrounding the most unvetted and, ultimately vacuously left-wing radical candidate in American history.

    The “hope” bong is nearly cashed & thank God the stunning hang-over of what-almost-could-have-been will be realized before manifesting itself at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave.

    Obama will soon degenerate into full scale racial histrionics, more eloquent perhaps, but reminiscent of his life-long spiritual leader.

  2. kranky kritter Says:

    Will you be continuing to note when the poll data shows a lead that is “statistically insignificant?” Is that a new feature, or worthy of mention only when McCain nudges ahead on the latest day’s variation in poll static?

    Folks, notice that the state-by-states have hardly changed at all.

  3. Donklephant » Blog Archive » Gallup: Obama Up By 3 Says:

    [...] Rasmussen has the race starting to favor McCain, as he is leading in that poll by a statistically insignificant margin for [...]

  4. Below The Beltway » Blog Archive » So Much For That Bounce Barack Says:

    [...] Rasmussen poll, meanwhile, actually shows McCain taking a lead for the first time since Obama clinched the Democratic nominatio… The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows the race for the White [...]

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