Donklephant » Blog Archive » Gallup: Obama Up By 6

Gallup: Obama Up By 6

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans

Rasmussen has shown a consistent 2 point spread among “likely” voters over the past 4 days, and Gallup has shown an average of about 5 points among “registered” voters over the past 4 days.

Are McCain’s attacks working or have people just grown tired of them?

Gallup dispels the “landslide” meme…

Still, in a historical sense, the race remains fairly close and is similar to other open presidential races. In some of these cases (1960, 1988, 2000, and 2004) the lead switched between the two major party candidates over the convention period.

Strong front-runners of past elections who ultimately won by big margins (presidential incumbents Bill Clinton in 1996, Ronald Reagan in 1984, Richard Nixon in 1972, and Lyndon Johnson in 1964) all led their opponents by more than 15 points in the pre-convention phase during those election years.

Will McCain catch up during the Republican convention?

More tomorrow…

This entry was posted on Wednesday, August 13th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

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