Comments on: Gallup: Obama Leads By 1 http://donklephant.com/2008/08/19/gallup-obama-leads-by-1-5/ Big Teeth. Huge Ass. Surprisingly Reasonable. Tue, 14 Feb 2012 14:03:13 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: Tully http://donklephant.com/2008/08/19/gallup-obama-leads-by-1-5/comment-page-1/#comment-413660 Tully Wed, 20 Aug 2008 13:44:46 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=6960#comment-413660 Convention bounce is mostly about party base response. VP bounce is ALL about base reponse. Convention bounce is mostly about party base response. VP bounce is ALL about base reponse.

]]> By: Doug Mataconis http://donklephant.com/2008/08/19/gallup-obama-leads-by-1-5/comment-page-1/#comment-413633 Doug Mataconis Tue, 19 Aug 2008 20:46:53 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=6960#comment-413633 Perhaps. Another factor that shouldn't be discounted is that both conventions are taking place at the end of August/beginning of Sept with the Labor Day Holiday smack in the middle. There's a good chance that a large portion of the undecided voters that these guys will have to fight for in the fall won't even be paying that much attention. We've never had a situation where a race that was this close started with conventions that are barely a week apart, it's hard to say what will happen. Perhaps.

Another factor that shouldn’t be discounted is that both conventions are taking place at the end of August/beginning of Sept with the Labor Day Holiday smack in the middle.

There’s a good chance that a large portion of the undecided voters that these guys will have to fight for in the fall won’t even be paying that much attention.

We’ve never had a situation where a race that was this close started with conventions that are barely a week apart, it’s hard to say what will happen.

]]> By: Avinash_Tyagi http://donklephant.com/2008/08/19/gallup-obama-leads-by-1-5/comment-page-1/#comment-413631 Avinash_Tyagi Tue, 19 Aug 2008 20:40:55 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=6960#comment-413631 Possibly, however the energy at the Dem convention will probably be far greater than at the GOP convention, many in the GOP are staying away, plus Bush and Cheney will be there, I can see the dem bump being stronger Possibly, however the energy at the Dem convention will probably be far greater than at the GOP convention, many in the GOP are staying away, plus Bush and Cheney will be there, I can see the dem bump being stronger

]]> By: Doug Mataconis http://donklephant.com/2008/08/19/gallup-obama-leads-by-1-5/comment-page-1/#comment-413630 Doug Mataconis Tue, 19 Aug 2008 19:48:32 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=6960#comment-413630 Given how these polls have been going, doesn't it seem that the most likely scenario is that whatever bounce Obama gets from the VP announcement and convention will be cancelled out by the bounce that McCain will get from his VP announcement and the GOP Convention ? Given how these polls have been going, doesn’t it seem that the most likely scenario is that whatever bounce Obama gets from the VP announcement and convention will be cancelled out by the bounce that McCain will get from his VP announcement and the GOP Convention ?

]]> By: Avinash_Tyagi http://donklephant.com/2008/08/19/gallup-obama-leads-by-1-5/comment-page-1/#comment-413629 Avinash_Tyagi Tue, 19 Aug 2008 19:30:39 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=6960#comment-413629 Veeps rarely have enough strength to push people into the lead, the best he could haope to do is to suppress the fallout from Obama's rally at the stadium and the news that he's turning 72, no his best hope for a bump is at the convention, but considering what's on tap at the convention, I think it won't be a big bump for him, if any. He should probably just hope to dampen any bounce Obama will get. Veeps rarely have enough strength to push people into the lead, the best he could haope to do is to suppress the fallout from Obama’s rally at the stadium and the news that he’s turning 72, no his best hope for a bump is at the convention, but considering what’s on tap at the convention, I think it won’t be a big bump for him, if any. He should probably just hope to dampen any bounce Obama will get.

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