Rasmussen: Obama Leads By 2, 3

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans

With leaners
Obama – 48%
McCain – 46%

Without leaners
Obama – 45%
McCain – 42%

Obama adds one in the “with leaners” numbers, but can he reach 50%? Or will McCain overtake him after the Republican National Convention?

And why do I highlight this daily polling? Rasmussen explains…

A batch of polls from other organizations yesterday confirmed the tightening of the race that Rasmussen Reports first picked up several weeks ago.

One of the advantages of daily tracking is that you are able to more precisely measure when changes in the race take place rather than relying on a once-a-month update.

Currently, a couple of other polls show McCain ahead and a few more show Obama with the lead. That’s exactly the distribution you’d expect to see if Obama is up by a point or two.

The 5 day w/leaners:
08/21/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 48%
08/20/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 47%
08/19/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 47%
08/18/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 47%
08/17/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 47%

The 5 day w/o leaners:
08/21/2008: McCain – 42%, Obama – 45%
08/20/2008: McCain – 42%, Obama – 45%
08/19/2008: McCain – 42%, Obama – 45%
08/18/2008: McCain – 43%, Obama – 44%
08/17/2008: McCain – 42%, Obama – 44%

More tomorrow…


This entry was posted on Thursday, August 21st, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

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