Gallup: McCain Leads By 5
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, RepublicansMcCain gains one and Obama loses one for a net two point gain for the Arizona senator and his new running mate.
Another significant mark for McCain…this is the first time he has hit 49%. Previously his high was 48%.
More from Gallup about historical bounces:
That is slightly better than Barack Obama’s four-point bounce from 45% in Aug. 22-24 polling before the Democratic National Convention started to 49% immediately after it concluded. Since 1964, the typical convention bounce has been five percentage points.
And here’s a chart of the bounces of each party’s nominee since 1964. All of the eventual winners are highlighted, but I’ve put the winners who had a bigger bounce than their opponent in red and the ones who had a smaller one in blue.
So, will the bounce continue tomorrow?
Stay tuned!
This entry was posted on Monday, September 8th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
September 8th, 2008 at 12:45 pm
The post-convention bounce is to be expected; however, I do not believe that it will stick. I am a life long Republican who is now left with the choice of voting for irrelavency (Ron Paul) or socialism (Obama). WHAT HAPPENED TO FISCAL CONSERVATISIM??? McCain offers no solution to the ever increasing national debt. With Fannie and Freddy both being bailed out by our national government, it seems that no one cares anymore that our country is headed toward financial insolvency. McCain admitedly has little knowledge of economics. Sarah Palin inherited a surplus as Govenor in Alaska and has never dealt with a financial crisis of this kind at any point in her career. What we need in the White House is an economist and an accountant, not a pilot and a fisherwoman.
September 8th, 2008 at 2:21 pm
Amen. But remember that statistically, Dems have been better stewards of the economy by a wide margin. (anyone got the figures on that one - been bandied about lately). So, it’s easy to saddle Obama with the “super-liberal and tax and spend” labels, but history has shown that Dems do it better.
September 8th, 2008 at 5:23 pm
Historically the “steward” claim is a crock, usually arrived at by diddling timelines and failing to acknowledge the lag between budget designation and actual expenditure, about 12-18 months. And it also fails to note that it is Congress that actually passes the budgets–the president is mostly just the hero or the goat, depending on results. The best the Prez can manage is vetoes and moral suasion.
Neither party has shown any excellence at it, and the best performance of modern times was under Clinton AFTER the GOP took the House in ‘94.