Rasmussen: McCain, Obama Tied
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, RepublicansWith leaners
Obama - 48%
McCain - 48%
Without leaners
Obama - 46%
McCain - 46%
Today’s numbers are revealing as they give us a sense that perhaps McCain’s bounce may have only closed the gap with Obama, but hasn’t really propelled him into any lead. And as those who follow these daily polls know, they represent a much steadier, accurate portrayal of how the race is shaping up.
Still, if McCain is able to hold his bounce, this race is tied.
Meanwhile, Rasmussen shares favorability numbers…
Throughout Election 2008, opinions have always been stronger about Obama than McCain. However, that gap is not as wide as it used to be. Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama while 28% have a Very Unfavorable view. For McCain, those numbers are now 29% Very Favorable and 20% Very Unfavorable.
The 5 day w/leaners:
09/09/2008: McCain - 48%, Obama - 48%
09/08/2008: McCain - 48%, Obama - 47%
09/07/2008: McCain - 48%, Obama - 48%
09/06/2008: McCain - 46%, Obama - 49%
09/05/2008: McCain - 46%, Obama - 48%
The 5 day w/o leaners:
09/09/2008: McCain - 46%, Obama - 46%
09/08/2008: McCain - 47%, Obama - 46%
09/07/2008: McCain - 46%, Obama - 46%
09/06/2008: McCain - 45%, Obama - 46%
09/05/2008: McCain - 45%, Obama - 46%
More tomorrow…
This entry was posted on Tuesday, September 9th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
September 9th, 2008 at 10:15 am
He won’t this numbers include saturday and sunday, which were good polling days for McCain (according to Nate Silver at 538), as these cycle out in the next few days, replaced by Obama favorable days it will shift back to an Obama lead
September 9th, 2008 at 11:33 am
Something like 9 out of 10 posts here are still about Palin. (I didn’t do the exact math - but it’s a lot). Good, bad, or indifferent at least we’re talking about her, and that’s supporting this “bump”. Not sure how he can do it, but if Obama can get this thing back to being about his policies and vision vs. McCain’s, he’ll get back his lead. I guess, with only 8 weeks left, we’re consumed with catching up on Palin info, so the posts keep coming. Can this last for 8 weeks? nah… We’ve got debates coming up at least.
September 9th, 2008 at 11:41 am
Mike, good points.
It seems like Obama initially thought that ignoring Palin was the best strategy (I thought this was a good plan, too, in the beginning) but was surprised by the excitement she’s brought to the race.
So now I’m torn. He has to talk about her a bit just to avoid questions about why he’s ignoring her, but he really needs to get back to his message and talk about McCain and the issues for which he’d been building momentum.
His comments in Michigan yesterday about the Constitution and detainees were a great start, in my opinion. We need him to get back to this kind of thinking.