Comments on: Special Report: Voter Defiance in the Missouri Bellwether http://donklephant.com/2008/09/16/special-report-voter-defiance-in-the-missouri-bellwether/ Big Teeth. Huge Ass. Surprisingly Reasonable. Mon, 23 Nov 2009 19:41:00 -0800 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 By: Rich Horton http://donklephant.com/2008/09/16/special-report-voter-defiance-in-the-missouri-bellwether/comment-page-1/#comment-416553 Rich Horton Tue, 16 Sep 2008 21:47:21 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=7999#comment-416553 Missouri will be competitive but I think a loser for Obama. Both Rassmussen and CNN have McCain up 5 in their latest (according to RCP) and I've not seen Missouri go through particularly wild swings during election cycles. It's doable for Obama, I guess, but it would require a pretty big stumble from McCain. (Yep, born and raised in the St. Louis area. (What's that? Oh, Prep North and St. Ann's Parish if you need to know.- St. Louis people will get that.) The anecdotal stuff is interesting, but the political science degree in me screams for data. Missouri will be competitive but I think a loser for Obama. Both Rassmussen and CNN have McCain up 5 in their latest (according to RCP) and I’ve not seen Missouri go through particularly wild swings during election cycles. It’s doable for Obama, I guess, but it would require a pretty big stumble from McCain.

(Yep, born and raised in the St. Louis area. (What’s that? Oh, Prep North and St. Ann’s Parish if you need to know.- St. Louis people will get that.)

The anecdotal stuff is interesting, but the political science degree in me screams for data.

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