Comments on: Pollster.com: Voters Don’t Change Their Mind In October http://donklephant.com/2008/10/01/pollstercom-voters-dont-change-their-mind-in-october/ Big Teeth. Huge Ass. Surprisingly Reasonable. Mon, 23 Nov 2009 07:33:07 -0800 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 By: Donklephant » Blog Archive » Rasmussen: Obama Up By 7 http://donklephant.com/2008/10/01/pollstercom-voters-dont-change-their-mind-in-october/comment-page-1/#comment-418141 Donklephant » Blog Archive » Rasmussen: Obama Up By 7 Thu, 02 Oct 2008 14:13:20 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=8585#comment-418141 [...] Also, let’s not ignore the fact that Obama has been at 51% for the past three days. And for a candidate to be so far ahead this late in the game is extremely important because it’s incredibly hard to change voter’s minds in the last month, as I detailed yesterday. [...] [...] Also, let’s not ignore the fact that Obama has been at 51% for the past three days. And for a candidate to be so far ahead this late in the game is extremely important because it’s incredibly hard to change voter’s minds in the last month, as I detailed yesterday. [...]

]]> By: Mike http://donklephant.com/2008/10/01/pollstercom-voters-dont-change-their-mind-in-october/comment-page-1/#comment-418121 Mike Thu, 02 Oct 2008 11:58:16 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=8585#comment-418121 I agree--it does seem unlikely that Obama will lose his lead from now until the election, unless something unexpected happens (and that's a big "unless"). But, there still is the question of voter turn-out. If McCain brings out voters and Obama doesn't, McCain could still win even if he's not polling well. It's still not likely though, as my gut feels that it will be the opposite. I agree–it does seem unlikely that Obama will lose his lead from now until the election, unless something unexpected happens (and that’s a big “unless”).

But, there still is the question of voter turn-out. If McCain brings out voters and Obama doesn’t, McCain could still win even if he’s not polling well. It’s still not likely though, as my gut feels that it will be the opposite.

]]> By: BBQ http://donklephant.com/2008/10/01/pollstercom-voters-dont-change-their-mind-in-october/comment-page-1/#comment-418095 BBQ Thu, 02 Oct 2008 03:48:19 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=8585#comment-418095 You don't really need to go any further in analysis than saying this jump for Obama is because of the economy. He has won over the 50-64 age Boomer group which is really worried about their retirement. Before the crisis, McCain was leading that group. You don’t really need to go any further in analysis than saying this jump for Obama is because of the economy. He has won over the 50-64 age Boomer group which is really worried about their retirement. Before the crisis, McCain was leading that group.

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