http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/corsis_dull_hatchet.html

“A frequent Corsi tactic is to point to some link between Obama and various unsavory persons and to imply that Obama somehow shares in their unsavoriness. He devotes an entire chapter to violent uprisings in Kenya following a disputed presidential election in 2007. The link to Obama? During a visit to Kenya in 2006, Obama and his wife, Michelle, arranged to take an AIDS test to publicly demonstrate the test’s safety. While there, Obama spoke to the assembled crowd. Raila Odinga, one of the two candidates running for president, was on the stage when Obama spoke. Corsi concludes that the event constituted an endorsement of Odinga. He goes on to attribute all the violence in Kenya to an elaborate Odinga plot.

Corsi, however, offers no evidence that Obama actually did endorse Odinga. In fact, MSNBC reported that during that same trip, Obama also met with Mwai Kibaki, who was Odinga’s opponent in that election, as well as with opposition leader Uhuru Kenyatta. And Human Rights Watch reported that both Odinga and Kibaki (or their supporters, anyway) had a hand in the violence that followed the election.”

http://www.ap-gfkpoll.com/pdf/AP-GfK_Poll_3_Topline_FINAL.pdf

This is an absolutely BIZARRE and self-contradictory read.

45% of respondents self identified as Evangelicals when only 23% self-identified in 2004 exit polls. THAT says the POLL is drastically skewed.

78% said the country is moving in the wrong direction.

On all questions about handling the economy, the split was about 52% Obama to 38/39% McCain.

Health care was 55% Obama, 36% McCain.

Only on “national security” did McCain lead, 48% to 43%.

25% of the respondents were on cell phones, randomly chosen. NO ONE KNOWS who owns a cell phone number, no certainty the cell phone is even in the area code where it is issued, is owned by a voter . . .

I’d be embarrassed to be associated with this Associated Press disaster.

We’re not going to see Reagan 84 numbers for some time, but I do think an Obama rout (electorally) is more probable than a McCain win at this point. If Obama can maintain anything close to a 5-7 point lead nationally, it seems almost impossible that he wouldn’t find some scenario to carry him to 270.

Real Clear Politics shows Obama up by 7%.

FiveThirtyEight shows Obama up by 6.2%.

Pollster shows Obama up by 7%.

I don’t think we’re looking at rout territory, but we’re definitely into landslide. Especially if Obama gets up to 360+ electoral votes. Because at that point he’s at 2 to 1 McCain’s numbers. But he’ll most likely need a 8% national popular vote total to do that.

And, lets remember, polls are just polls. Routs happen at the ballot booth. It’s kinda silly to argue how far ahead Obama is at this point. That wasn’t the point of the post. I’m just trying to see if, historically and statistically, McCain has a shot.

http://drslogan.wordpress.com/2008/10/22/kenya-barack-obamas-other-change/

45% of this poll’s respondents are evangelicals or born-again Christians

A likely voter screen that turns a rout into a dead heat is essentially worthless.