Gallup: Obama Up By 9
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, PollsObama loses one and McCain gains one, the exact opposite of what happened in the Rasmussen poll.
But the biggest story all around is Obama maintains a significant lead among registered and likely voters.
Registered Voters
Likely Voters (Expanded Model)
Likely Voters (Traditional Model)
Today’s results are based on Oct. 19-21 interviewing, and show Obama with a 50% to 45% lead over McCain when likely voters are defined using Gallup’s traditional likely voter model, and with a 52% to 44% lead using an expanded model.The traditional model assumes that those who express a strong intention to vote this year and who have voted often in the past will vote this year. The expanded model does not rely on past voting behavior as a predictor of turnout this year, and thus defines likely voters as those who express a strong intention to vote this year.
The likely voter estimates for each candidate have generally been stable since Gallup began measuring them about two weeks ago. Obama’s support has ranged between 49% and 51% using the traditional model and a slightly higher 50% to 53% using the expanded model. McCain’s support has ranged between 44% and 47% in the traditional model and 42% to 46% in the expanded model.
More tomorrow…
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