http://donklephant.com/2008/10/25/nbcs-electoral-map-points-to-obama-win/ Big Teeth. Huge Ass. Surprisingly Reasonable. Sun, 22 Nov 2009 23:08:28 -0800 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 http://donklephant.com/2008/10/25/nbcs-electoral-map-points-to-obama-win/comment-page-1/#comment-421238 bunny fufu Sat, 25 Oct 2008 18:44:52 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=9693#comment-421238 Not that it matters really, but just a clarification on the 538 number of 348EV. 348 is an average number of EV Obama would get that made more sense when the EV's seemed more binomially distributed. O's lead is so big according to their model that it's more relevant to state the most likely amount of EV's he'd get. Currently of the 10,000 simulations they ran, ~2000 simulations result in O getting 375EV. The second most likely result is 378EV. Between those two possible EV outcomes, you can roughly estimate from their graph that there is at least 25% chance that he's hit landslide amount. Not that it matters really, but just a clarification on the 538 number of 348EV. 348 is an average number of EV Obama would get that made more sense when the EV’s seemed more binomially distributed. O’s lead is so big according to their model that it’s more relevant to state the most likely amount of EV’s he’d get. Currently of the 10,000 simulations they ran, ~2000 simulations result in O getting 375EV. The second most likely result is 378EV. Between those two possible EV outcomes, you can roughly estimate from their graph that there is at least 25% chance that he’s hit landslide amount.

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