Gallup: Obama Up By 910, 9, 5
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, Polls
Obama gains 1 in the registered and likely expanded models, but loses a net 2 points in the traditional model.
Still, he hasn’t fallen below 50% in any of these models, so all of the trends still suggest an easy Obama win in 9 days.
The numbers…
Registered Voters: Obama +910 (Gallup didn’t update their graph so it was wrong)
Likely Voters (Expanded Model): Obama +9
Likely Voters (Traditional Model): Obama +5
However, Gallup needs to be a little bit more careful with their reporting, because they contradict their own numbers. Because either Obama gained 1 in the registered numbers and now has a +10 lead (as shown) or he stayed the same with a +9 lead as they suggest in the following…
Obama currently holds a 51% to 42% lead over McCain among all registered voters, which equals the average for October to date. That nine percentage point average lead is easily Obama’s best of the campaign; his average lead was two points in September, three points in August, four points in July, and three points in June.
More tomorrow…
UPDATE:
Actually, they did screw up their graph so I’ve changed the registered numbers to reflect this.
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