Comments on: Gallup: Obama Up 7, 7, 2 http://donklephant.com/2008/10/28/gallup-obama-up-7-7-2/ Big Teeth. Huge Ass. Surprisingly Reasonable. Sun, 08 Nov 2009 23:59:03 -0800 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 By: rachel http://donklephant.com/2008/10/28/gallup-obama-up-7-7-2/comment-page-1/#comment-421785 rachel Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:09:47 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=9905#comment-421785 I don't understand. In the first graph (Poll of Registered Voters) Obama's at 52 and McCain is at 42. How is that equal Obama at +7? I thought is was because they'd taken the margin of error into account, but then why didn't they for the other polls? It's strange. I don’t understand. In the first graph (Poll of Registered Voters) Obama’s at 52 and McCain is at 42. How is that equal Obama at +7? I thought is was because they’d taken the margin of error into account, but then why didn’t they for the other polls? It’s strange.

]]> By: mw http://donklephant.com/2008/10/28/gallup-obama-up-7-7-2/comment-page-1/#comment-421763 mw Wed, 29 Oct 2008 05:31:08 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=9905#comment-421763 It occurs to me, that <i>if</i> the polls continue to tighten another 3 points between now and the election (NOTE:I am not saying I think they will), <i>then...</i> Gallup will be in a position where they will have one poll projecting an Obama win, and another poll projecting a McCain win. So after all these polls, all these months, it nets out to Gallup saying - "either Obama or McCain is leading." I think I already knew that. It occurs to me, that if the polls continue to tighten another 3 points between now and the election (NOTE:I am not saying I think they will), then…
Gallup will be in a position where they will have one poll projecting an Obama win, and another poll projecting a McCain win. So after all these polls, all these months, it nets out to Gallup saying – “either Obama or McCain is leading.”

I think I already knew that.

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