Rasmussen: Obama Up By 3
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, PollsObama - 50%
McCain - 47%
Obama loses one and McCain gains one as the numbers tighten further today.
For the moment it appears as if McCain’s “socialist” attacks are working, and I can’t help but think that the 2001 audio from Monday has had a small effect on the race. But then again…that’s what October surprises do. It’ll be a couple days before we know if this is a trend or just a momentary blip.
Rasmussen talks numbers and trends…
Prior to today’s update, Obama had been ahead by four-to-eight points every single day for 33 straight days.During that 33-day stretch, Obama’s voter support had stayed between 50% and 52% every day while McCain was in the 44% to 46% range.
It will take another day or so to determine whether today’s numbers reflect a lasting change or statistical noise. Two of the last three nights of polling show a closer race than was found in the previous month.
The 5 day:
10/29/2008: McCain - 47%, Obama - 50%
10/28/2008: McCain - 46%, Obama - 51%
10/27/2008: McCain - 45%, Obama - 51%
10/26/2008: McCain - 44%, Obama - 52%
10/25/2008: McCain - 44%, Obama - 52%
More tomorrow…
This entry was posted on Wednesday, October 29th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
October 29th, 2008 at 9:26 am
It’s interesting, because Obama’s state-by-state numbers are still quite good, if not better than they’ve ever been (even according to Rasmussen). It may be that McCain’s attacks are rallying supporters in non-battleground red states, which accounts for the increase in his national support, but are pushing away (or most likely not significantly affecting) bellwether voters in OH/PA/FL/VA/CO.
October 29th, 2008 at 12:23 pm
State polls reflect the national polls of the previous week. We saw this after the convention.
October 29th, 2008 at 12:55 pm
[...] again, since Rasmussen’s numbers have tightened, I have to think that if Obama starts to dip below 49% in Gallup’s other two models, the face [...]