Gallup: Obama Up By 11, 10, 10
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, PollsWe’re now at double digits in all models, and I think this is the first time we’ve seen this.
Not only that, Obama is at a solid 52% in every model as well.
Things are looking increasingly grim for McCain.
Registered Voters: Obama +11
Likely Voters (Expanded Model): Obama +10
Likely Voters (Traditional Model): Obama +10
Gallup explains how the early voting is benefitting Obama in these numbers…
Gallup’s interviewing conducted Wednesday through Friday shows that 27% of registered voters who plan to vote have already voted. The trend in early voting has trended consistently upward on a day to day basis, moving from 7% of registered voters, who had already voted during the period of Oct. 17-19, to the current estimate of 27%. Another 8% of registered voters still indicate that they plan on voting before Election Day itself.The vote choices of these early voters — all of whom are included in the likely voter pool since they are definite voters — skew more toward Barack Obama than the sample average. Thus, more and more of these Obama-oriented voters’ choices are being “locked in” to the likely voter pool through early voting, benefiting Obama.
More tomorrow…
This entry was posted on Saturday, November 1st, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
November 2nd, 2008 at 6:09 am
[...] Just wow. [...]