Final Rasmussen: Obama Up By 6

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, Polls

Obama - 52%
McCain - 46%

Obama gains one today, and I think it’s pretty clear from every single indicator out there that he has this thing locked up.

Not only that, it looks like he’ll actually get a majority of the vote, and that hasn’t happened for a Dem in over 30 years.

Rasmussen talks about Obama’s consistent lead…

Today is the 39th straight day that Obama’s support has stayed between 50% and 52%. Only once during that entire time did his lead fall below four points and it occasionally expanded to eight.

During that 39-day stretch, Obama did well in the debates and in many ways campaigned like Ronald Reagan–he reminded voters of an unpopular incumbent, offered an upbeat message in a time of economic anxiety, and promised tax cuts to just about everyone.

Like Reagan, Obama’s tax-cutting message became the single most visible part of his campaign and 31% of voters expect their taxes to decline if the Democrat wins tomorrow. Only 11% expect a tax-cut with a McCain victory.

And a bit on favorability and enthusiasm…

Obama is now viewed favorably by 56% of voters nationwide, McCain by 53%. Obama gets positive reviews from 88% of Democrats and 58% of unaffiliated voters. Eight-nine percent (89%) of Republicans and 56% of unaffiliateds say the same about McCain.

However, there is a definite enthusiasm gap when it comes to the candidates. Seventy-six percent (76%) of Democrats have a Very Favorable opinion. Only 55% of Republicans are that upbeat about McCain.

And with 30% of the votes already banked and favoring Obama by around 20%, McCain could be looking at a much bigger loss than just 6 points.

The 5 day:
11/03/2008: McCain - 46%, Obama - 52%
11/02/2008: McCain - 46%, Obama - 51%
11/01/2008: McCain - 46%, Obama - 51%
10/31/2008: McCain - 47%, Obama - 51%
10/30/2008: McCain - 46%, Obama - 51%

No more tomorrow. :-)

This entry was posted on Monday, November 3rd, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

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