Comments on: 41% Have Early Voted In North Carolina http://donklephant.com/2008/11/04/41-have-early-voted-in-north-carolina/ Big Teeth. Huge Ass. Surprisingly Reasonable. Sun, 08 Nov 2009 23:59:03 -0800 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 By: Alan Stewart Carl http://donklephant.com/2008/11/04/41-have-early-voted-in-north-carolina/comment-page-1/#comment-422849 Alan Stewart Carl Tue, 04 Nov 2008 18:39:51 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=10442#comment-422849 I question how we should interpret "registered Democrat." I know in 2000, Dems thought they had generated a big turnout in Florida only to discover that a significant percentage of registered Dems were really Republicans who hadn't changed their registration in 20 years. Here in Texas, we don't register for a party, but if we vote in a primary they can "track" us in the general. We've had high Dem turnout but I wonder how many of those were crossover voters who wanted to participate in the first important primary here in a generation but have gone home to the Republicans for the general. (of course, I did the opposite, voting in the Rep primary but switching to Obama in the general). I'm sure the high Dem turnout is good news for Obama, but I wonder HOW good. I question how we should interpret “registered Democrat.” I know in 2000, Dems thought they had generated a big turnout in Florida only to discover that a significant percentage of registered Dems were really Republicans who hadn’t changed their registration in 20 years.

Here in Texas, we don’t register for a party, but if we vote in a primary they can “track” us in the general. We’ve had high Dem turnout but I wonder how many of those were crossover voters who wanted to participate in the first important primary here in a generation but have gone home to the Republicans for the general. (of course, I did the opposite, voting in the Rep primary but switching to Obama in the general).

I’m sure the high Dem turnout is good news for Obama, but I wonder HOW good.

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