Comments on: Obama Won Dallas, Houston and San Antonio

By: Donklephant Â» Blog Archive Â» Obama Won Dallas, Houston and San Antonio » Don't Cry Over Spilt Water

Thu, 06 Nov 2008 17:50:26 +0000

[...] Donklephant Â» Blog Archive Â» Obama Won Dallas, Houston and San Antonio [...]

By: Alan Stewart Carl

Alan Stewart Carl — Thu, 06 Nov 2008 04:15:28 +0000

Dale, yeah, I expected the three big Texas cities to all go for Obama based on recent trends and changing demographics. I think what it does for Dems is give them bases from which to build a stronger party and “nuture” talented young politicians who could eventually compete on a statewide level.

I also don’t foresee Texas becoming a swing state anytime in the next few elections. But it could become more moderate with more diversity among statewide elected officials.

By: Dale

Dale — Thu, 06 Nov 2008 03:03:58 +0000

Dallas went about 49% for Kerry in 2004. I predicted Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio would go for Obama, along with Austin of course. So no, I was not shocked.

Dallas also went for Democrats in a big way in 2006, with dozens of minor elected positions flipping to the Democratic Party. Our sheriff is a lesbian Hispanic Democrat, first elected in 2006.

That trend continued in 2008, but I have a hard time believing it will spread much past the big cities unless Obama does really well as President.

But even then, the problem is that we are pretty well off in Texas compared with a lot of other states. Much as I dislike and distrust our Republican governor (who only got 40% of the vote in 2006, I might add), he does seem to be doing a pretty good administrative job. So there’s not a whole lot Obama can do for us.

I’m not saying Texas couldn’t become a swing state, but just don’t get disappointed if it doesn’t happen. Or let me put it this way, by the time it does happen, the Republicans might be back on top.