Comments on: Iran’s Interior Ministry Told Moussavi He Won http://donklephant.com/2009/06/14/irans-interior-ministry-told-moussavi-he-won/ Big Teeth. Huge Ass. Surprisingly Reasonable. Tue, 14 Feb 2012 14:03:13 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: Mike http://donklephant.com/2009/06/14/irans-interior-ministry-told-moussavi-he-won/comment-page-1/#comment-485462 Mike Mon, 15 Jun 2009 02:09:36 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=15173#comment-485462 The Iranian people have had enough. I think a full scale, armed revolution is imminent. If it succeeds, the nuclear threat Iran poses to the world will be gone, and we'll have a new, democratic country. If it fails, the regime will be weak and bloodied anyway, and in no shape to threaten anyone. The Iranian people have had enough. I think a full scale, armed revolution is imminent. If it succeeds, the nuclear threat Iran poses to the world will be gone, and we’ll have a new, democratic country. If it fails, the regime will be weak and bloodied anyway, and in no shape to threaten anyone.

]]> By: Chris http://donklephant.com/2009/06/14/irans-interior-ministry-told-moussavi-he-won/comment-page-1/#comment-485234 Chris Sun, 14 Jun 2009 21:57:49 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=15173#comment-485234 the most that the US would do would provide weapons. I have no doubt that they're already setting up those contacts. the most that the US would do would provide weapons. I have no doubt that they’re already setting up those contacts.

]]> By: Nick Benjamin http://donklephant.com/2009/06/14/irans-interior-ministry-told-moussavi-he-won/comment-page-1/#comment-485206 Nick Benjamin Sun, 14 Jun 2009 20:18:07 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=15173#comment-485206 20 years ago the Chinese Communists were very rattled by what they saw in Tiananmen square. My guess is that this particular outburst will be brutally crushed by the security services as well. Whether this revolt works will probably depend on the international response. Iran has no oil refining capacity, so if the international community imposes a gasoline embargo it would be a real problem for Ahmadinejad. Note that in this case the US can't really do much. We're already embargoing them. The most important actors are the other Democracies and the Russians. We probably won't get much help from the Russians. They aren't exactly big on ethical elections themselves, and they will believe that a Mousavi-led Iran will be pro-Western, and therefore bad for Russia. 20 years ago the Chinese Communists were very rattled by what they saw in Tiananmen square. My guess is that this particular outburst will be brutally crushed by the security services as well.

Whether this revolt works will probably depend on the international response. Iran has no oil refining capacity, so if the international community imposes a gasoline embargo it would be a real problem for Ahmadinejad.

Note that in this case the US can’t really do much. We’re already embargoing them. The most important actors are the other Democracies and the Russians. We probably won’t get much help from the Russians. They aren’t exactly big on ethical elections themselves, and they will believe that a Mousavi-led Iran will be pro-Western, and therefore bad for Russia.

]]> By: Tillyosu http://donklephant.com/2009/06/14/irans-interior-ministry-told-moussavi-he-won/comment-page-1/#comment-485185 Tillyosu Sun, 14 Jun 2009 18:14:01 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=15173#comment-485185 I think it has already started. If a majority of the people voted for Mousavi, then a majority of the people are, right now, angry and confused. If Ahmedinejad has Mousavi killed, this thing is going to get very, very ugly. I think it has already started. If a majority of the people voted for Mousavi, then a majority of the people are, right now, angry and confused. If Ahmedinejad has Mousavi killed, this thing is going to get very, very ugly.

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