Comments on: Public Policy Polling’s Disturbing Birther Discovery In Virginia http://donklephant.com/2009/08/02/public-policy-pollings-disturbing-birther-discovery-in-virginia/ Big Teeth. Huge Ass. Surprisingly Reasonable. Tue, 14 Feb 2012 14:03:13 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: Tully http://donklephant.com/2009/08/02/public-policy-pollings-disturbing-birther-discovery-in-virginia/comment-page-1/#comment-529901 Tully Mon, 03 Aug 2009 16:53:09 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=15997#comment-529901 The MoE is even higher if the base assumptions or the methodology are suspect. Yeah, I remember that 2007 Rasmussen poll. I thought of it when I saw the DailyKos birfer polling. The MoE is even higher if the base assumptions or the methodology are suspect.

Yeah, I remember that 2007 Rasmussen poll. I thought of it when I saw the DailyKos birfer polling.

]]> By: Chris http://donklephant.com/2009/08/02/public-policy-pollings-disturbing-birther-discovery-in-virginia/comment-page-1/#comment-529758 Chris Mon, 03 Aug 2009 03:15:18 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=15997#comment-529758 The difference Jimmy is that 9/11 is an unknown, BO being a citizen is a known. The difference Jimmy is that 9/11 is an unknown, BO being a citizen is a known.

]]> By: Nick Benjamin http://donklephant.com/2009/08/02/public-policy-pollings-disturbing-birther-discovery-in-virginia/comment-page-1/#comment-529658 Nick Benjamin Sun, 02 Aug 2009 23:46:55 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=15997#comment-529658 To get a standard error of 3% you need to sample 1,000 or more. This sample is only 168, so the standard error is much higher. It's 7.5% at a 95% confidence according to the formula on wikipedia: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error#Different_confidence_levels No idea what the sample size on the 9/1 poll was, so I can't calculate that margin. To get a standard error of 3% you need to sample 1,000 or more.

This sample is only 168, so the standard error is much higher. It’s 7.5% at a 95% confidence according to the formula on wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error#Different_confidence_levels

No idea what the sample size on the 9/1 poll was, so I can’t calculate that margin.

]]> By: Solomon Kleinsmith http://donklephant.com/2009/08/02/public-policy-pollings-disturbing-birther-discovery-in-virginia/comment-page-1/#comment-529636 Solomon Kleinsmith Sun, 02 Aug 2009 23:17:29 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=15997#comment-529636 Thats a good point Jimmy. Hatred breeds ignorance. Thats a good point Jimmy.

Hatred breeds ignorance.

]]> By: Jimmy the Dhimmi http://donklephant.com/2009/08/02/public-policy-pollings-disturbing-birther-discovery-in-virginia/comment-page-1/#comment-529626 Jimmy the Dhimmi Sun, 02 Aug 2009 23:07:16 +0000 http://donklephant.com/?p=15997#comment-529626 <a href="http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/bush_administration/22_believe_bush_knew_about_9_11_attacks_in_advance" rel="nofollow">Remember this poll in 2007?</a> <blockquote>Democrats in America are evenly divided on the question of whether George W. Bush knew about the 9/11 terrorist attacks in advance. Thirty-five percent (35%) of Democrats believe he did know, 39% say he did not know, and 26% are not sure.</blockquote> My guess is that over time, the craziness on the left regarding Bush and 9/11 will subside, as will this birth certificate nonsense. Question: Is 3 points more of nuttiness (39% vs 42%) within the margin of error? Which side is more crazy? Remember this poll in 2007?

Democrats in America are evenly divided on the question of whether George W. Bush knew about the 9/11 terrorist attacks in advance. Thirty-five percent (35%) of Democrats believe he did know, 39% say he did not know, and 26% are not sure.

My guess is that over time, the craziness on the left regarding Bush and 9/11 will subside, as will this birth certificate nonsense.

Question: Is 3 points more of nuttiness (39% vs 42%) within the margin of error? Which side is more crazy?

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