With leaners Obama – 48% McCain – 47% Without leaners Obama – 46% McCain – 46% Is the bounce over? The numbers would suggest they are as McCain drops a point in the “with leaners” numbers. But what about that all important female vote? Rasmussen Reports polling has consistently shown a similar result, but it [...]

We won’t know the full extent of McCain’s bounce until Monday, but Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight had this to say yesterday… From what best I can tell (and this is not an exact science) the one-night results from yesterday’s tracking polls showed something like a 1-2 point Obama lead. If — and this is a [...]

A big drop today of 3 points, as evidence of a McCain bounce is surfacing in Gallup and Rasmussen’s numbers. The details… Support for Obama since just before the Democratic National Convention kicked off on Aug. 25 has ranged from 44% to 50%, while McCain’s support has ranged from 41% to 46%. Whereas the race [...]

First things first… McCain’s speech last night was probably one of the best I’ve ever seen him give. But having said that it still wasn’t a well delivered speech. Much like Kerry in 2004 and Gore in 2000, he just doesn’t have it, and that’s not something he can really help at this point. His [...]

By contrast, Obama’s speech pulled in 38.3 million viewers. So all eyes were definitely on her as folks tried to gain some insight into the who, what, why, where and how of Palin. Here’s more… That’s 55% higher than Day 3 of the DNC, when her Democratic counterpart, Joe Biden, and President Clinton took the [...]

My questions…as addressed to Sarah Palin… Why give a speech that was really designed to rally the Republican base when John McCain consistently gets more Republican support than Obama gets Democratic support? Why go on the attack with petty snipes at Obama when you have the chance to frame yourself as a true, transformative political [...]

The Obama/Biden ticket has maintained a pretty significant lead the past 8 days since the DNC really began in earnest and Gallup was tracking the response. So it’s telling that after 3 days of the RNC, there’s pretty much no change in the lead. The details… Thursday’s interviewing will be the first to reflect the [...]

Courtesy of MSNBC. I’ll have more tomorrow, but for now I’ll leave you with this one question: do you think this speech swayed any independent women? Discuss.

Here are the excerpts being released so far… On her experience as a public servant: “I had the privilege of living most of my life in a small town. I was just your average hockey mom, and signed up for the PTA because I wanted to make my kids’ public education better. When I ran [...]

With leaners Obama – 50% McCain – 45% Without leaners Obama – 48% McCain – 43% Not much change since yesterday, with Obama/Biden dropping one in the “with leaners” numbers, but still maintaining a significant lead over McCain/Palin. Something interesting…both Prez candidates seemed to have lost ground after their VP selections… With the two conventions [...]

The bump continues, as Obama extends his lead by 2 points today. However, these numbers don’t include his speech last night, which should push these numbers higher. The details… Obama’s significant lead over McCain almost certainly reflects the effects of the Democratic National Convention. The two presidential candidates were tied at 45% in the last [...]

He thought it showed a toughness we haven’t seen yet from the candidate. Of note, I’ve always thought that Todd is one of the savvier, intellectually honest pundits out there. Perhaps even more so than the late Tim Russert. So something tells me that his will be the consensus opinion come tomorrow. We shall see…

Video provided by MSNBC. What impressed me so much about this speech is Obama essentially reframed the American Dream tonight as something we can all share if we believe in the liberal traditions of fairness and equality. So call him a fake and a phony all you want. But tonight he called upon the middle [...]

This is it folks… +++++ To Chairman Dean and my great friend Dick Durbin; and to all my fellow citizens of this great nation; With profound gratitude and great humility, I accept your nomination for the presidency of the United States. Let me express my thanks to the historic slate of candidates who accompanied me [...]

The speech is entitled “The American Promise” and it seems to be aimed squarely at the middle class swing voter. Here are some excerpts… +++++ Four years ago, I stood before you and told you my story — of the brief union between a young man from Kenya and a young woman from Kansas who [...]

Obama scores a 5 point bump from yesterday to regain a sizable lead and hit the 48% mark for the first time since his overseas trip. And, as Gallup notes, these numbers don’t take into account Clinton and Biden’s speeches… The latest three-day Gallup Poll Daily tracking average (Aug. 25-27) is directly coincident with the [...]

“People around the world have always been more impressed by the power of our example than by the example of our power.” – Bill Clinton in an incredibly well received speech. I was impressed as well. This is a man I’ve lost a lot of respect for over the past 8 months, but last night’s [...]

Courtesy of MSNBC. Tonight’s full schedule after the jump…