Tom Brokaw, Chuck Todd and the gang talk about NBC’s shifting electoral map and the new blue states that Obama’s campaign could create in this cycle.

Again, no good news here for McCain.
What will he do?
Or, more importantly, what can he do?
BTW, Todd reveals a very interesting insight into how NBC determines their electoral projections. It’s [...]

I literally took this screen capture two minutes ago.
First, to have North Carolina as solidly Republican is a fantasy. It’s certainly a toss up at this point, and is actually leaning a little towards Obama right now.
Second, O’Reilly still thinks Iowa, Oregon, Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota and Pennsylvania are in the toss up columns? I don’t [...]

Yesterday, I talked about how the map is predicting an electoral disaster for McCain.
Chuck Todd talks about how NBC’s very conservative map now predicts 286 electoral votes for Obama…

Now do know that Obama only needs Colorado on NBC’s map to win, but they now agree that both Colorado and Virginia are trending towards the Dems.
Meanwhile, [...]

Hi, this is Danielle Ivory at the American News Project in DC. Thanks to Justin Gardner for allowing us to post story items here! We’ll start doing this regularly next week.
Just by way of introduction, the ANP is an independent non-profit video news organization in DC. We produce pieces for the web, but [...]

With the flood of new polls out in the past couple days showing Obama ahead everywhere…the electoral maps are looking the absolute worst they have ever been for McCain.
Seriously, take a look…
Electoral-Vote.com has Obama capturing 375 to McCain’s anemic 157. This is the highest and lowest totals they’ve had for each candidate since they started [...]

Yes, “anything” can happen, but will it?
I honestly don’t think so. Obama is gaining momentum after that last debate, and with Palin’s embarrassing VP answer already catching fire throughout the mediasphere, the McCain camp will keep hemorrhaging swing votes.
Chuck Todd has more…

No ground game in Florida? How can the Republicans have planned so poorly?
Amazing…

I created this map over at Real Clear Politics, and I think what it shows are the states that will go for McCain, the states that will go for Obama and the states that are true toss-ups.
My measure of this was if a state had aggregate polling that was +5% in a candidate’s favor, [...]

Arkansas solidly blue?
Arizona and Tennessee leaning Obama?
Louisiana, Georgia and South Carolina now toss ups?
Take a peek into the weird little corner of the blogopshere that is Dick Morris’ electoral predictions…

Want to know the real reason why Morris did this?
To push the McCain comeback meme…
If the election took place this week, it would be [...]

NBC’s heir apparent breaks it down…

Todd thinks McCain has to find a way to disqualify Obama for president in the debate tonight. But folks, that’s an impossible task. How can you disqualify somebody for president in a debate?
So what Todd is really saying is McCain is all but done. He was saying very similar things [...]

This is the highest level of support Obama has had at this site since they’ve been tracking back in late June.

A couple notes about this map…
Note that both North Dakota and West Virginia are now either barely or leaning towards Obama. And while I think a place like North Dakota may be vulnerable, I still [...]

4 days ago I looked at the numbers, and at that time the average of the top 4 electoral sites shook out like this:
Electoral Projection Averages 10.08.08: Obama 354, McCain 184
So what could happen in four days?
Take a look…
FiveThirtyEight: Obama 349.4, McCain 188.6

Electoral-Vote.com: Obama 343, McCain 184, Ties 11

Real Clear Politics: Obama 353, McCain 185

Pollster: [...]

With West Virginia now being thrown into the toss-up column on Pollster.com and FiveThirtyEight, this is what it would look like if Obama won all the swing states.

What’s more, if electoral history is any judge, the pickup of West Virginia wouldn’t necessarily be a surprise. Going back to the election of 1968, Dems have won [...]

2 days ago I looked at the numbers, and at that time the average of the top 4 electoral sites shook out like this:
Electoral Projection Averages 10.06.08: Obama 340, McCain 198.
So what could happen in two days?
Plenty.
Five Thirty Eight: Obama 346.8, McCain 191.2

Electoral-Vote.com: Obama 349, McCain 174, Ties 15

Real Clear Politics: Obama 364, McCain 174

Pollster: [...]

5 days ago I did this same post, and since Obama’s national polling lead is holding steady, I thought I’d run the numbers again to see if there was any lift in his direction.
There is. Not only that, McCain has lost ground.
Five Thirty Eight: Obama 339.2, McCain 198.8

Electoral-Vote.com: Obama 329, McCain 194, Ties 15

Real Clear [...]

The math is bleak for McCain.

By the way, I hope NBC gives Todd the Russert slot on MTP after the election. He’s more than earned it with his incredibly dead-on analysis this campaign season.

First, one of the best breaks it down…

After watching this I’m reminded of the parallels to the Democratic primary season. Much like Hillary, McCain is now going to employ the “kitchen sink” strategy and thus run a big risk of looking extremely partisan. And no doubt it’ll drive up Obama’s negatives and close the gap [...]

First, a video of Chuck Todd explaining it all, and it ain’t pretty for McCain.

So Obama basically has 264 in the bag right now. That means he only needs 6 more electoral votes.
And just look at these projections…
FiveThirtyEight: Obama 333.2, McCain 204.8

Electoral-Vote.com: Obama 338, McCain 185, Tie 15

Real Clear Politics: Obama 353, McCain 185

What’s more, [...]

A great look at one of the most trusted bloggers when it comes to electoral prediction.

Right now FiveThirtyEight projects November 4th to turn out like this: Obama 336, McCain 202.
And this is the average of all the projections from the top electoral sites: Obama 327, McCain 201.
Pretty close to Silver’s numbers, yes?
He’s good folks.

As a starter, Obama is up by 5 points or more in pretty much every single daily tracking poll. And it’s widely known that electoral projections rely on state polls, which usually trail the daily nationals by about a week. This is why we didn’t see an immediate uptick for McCain in the electoral counts [...]

Following up on the heels of my previous post, we have this…

It’s neck and neck folks.
Who’s looking forward to the debates now?