Archive for the 'Electoral College' Category

McCain Leads Most Electoral Counts

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Electoral College, McCain

First, Electoral-Vote.com… This is the first time he has lead in this count since the race began, and it speaks to how he has really sewn up the red states, and managed to swing states like Nevada and New Mexico back into his column. FiveThirtyEight shows McCain with an even bigger lead… As noted here [...]

September 15th, 2008 | Permalink| 4 Comments »

The Electoral Outlook – 57 Days Left

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Electoral College, McCain, Palin, Republicans

With less than two months to go, I’m going to start supplementing the daily national polling with a semi-daily electoral outlook from a few different sources. The best sources I see are Real Clear Politics, Electoral-Vote.com, Pollster and Five Thirty Eight. So then, here we go… Real Clear Politics: Obama 273, McCain 265 Electoral-Vote.com: Obama [...]

September 7th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Real Clear Politics Shows McCain With Electoral Edge

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Electoral College, McCain

Sort of… Here’s the count if there are no toss up states… Here’s the count if toss up states are still considered toss up states… Regardless, the race is tightening and it’s increasingly clear that late July and the whole of August has not been a good month for Obama in terms of momentum. John [...]

August 20th, 2008 | Permalink| 6 Comments »

An Electoral Tie?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Electoral College, History, Independents, McCain, Republicans

Doug Mataconis runs the numbers and comes up with an extremely plausible map… Colorado is incredibly tight, as is Ohio, Florida and Virginia. If McCain is able to keep all of those in the Republican column, then it’s 1824 all over again. Thoughts?

August 18th, 2008 | Permalink| 14 Comments »

The Electoral Vote Watchers Predicting Big Obama Win

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Electoral College, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans

I just did a few posts about the recent Quinnipiac polls for Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, and that got me thinking about the overall electoral college outlook. After all, whoever gets to 270 first is what really matters. So here’s what Pollster is showing…an easy Obama win… Same story from Electoral-College.com… So the question now [...]

July 31st, 2008 | Permalink| 13 Comments »

Obama Camp To Ignore Ohio, Florida?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Electoral College, Florida, McCain, Ohio, Republicans

In yet another sign that the Obama camp is really looking to remix the electoral map, “must win” status is being shifted from the traditional bellwethers to some that may surprise you. From AP: In a private pitch late last week to donors and former supporters of Hillary Rodham Clinton, Obama campaign manager David Plouffe [...]

June 16th, 2008 | Permalink| 5 Comments »