Reading Justin’s post this morning, it seemed clear that independents were singularly unmoved by Sarah Palin’s speech last night. I was surprised by this result, but facts are facts. Four independent voters were interviewed by the Fair & Balanced™ Detroit Free Press and the results were unanimous and unambiguous - The Palin speech had no [...]

My questions…as addressed to Sarah Palin…

Why give a speech that was really designed to rally the Republican base when John McCain consistently gets more Republican support than Obama gets Democratic support?

Why go on the attack with petty snipes at Obama when you have the chance to frame yourself as a true, transformative political figure and [...]

Hey all, this is another review I’m doing via the site ReviewMe.com.
As mentioned in the title, the site I’ll be taking a look at today is PoliWatch.org. It bills itself as being a site that features “Political Watch Blogs” with the goal of “Political Views and Solutions. Our Common Goal: Good Gov’t.”
However, the thing [...]

Obama probably won’t be able to hold this lead, but this number does include the day of Obama’s speech and the Palin announcement the next day.
Still, with the Repub convention next week, this is bound to swing back McCain’s way.

The details…
The current results are based on Aug. 27-29 interviewing, which includes two nights of polling [...]

With leaners
McCain - 49%
Obama - 45%
Without leaners
Obama - 47%
McCain - 43%
The numbers stay steady today, so perhaps the Palin announcement has had the desired effect of stopping any additional bounce for Obama.
One note, Obama still has a lead among women…but will he next week?
Obama currently leads by thirteen points among women while McCain leads by [...]

The bump continues, as Obama extends his lead by 2 points today. However, these numbers don’t include his speech last night, which should push these numbers higher.

The details…
Obama’s significant lead over McCain almost certainly reflects the effects of the Democratic National Convention. The two presidential candidates were tied at 45% in the last Gallup Poll [...]

With leaners
McCain - 49%
Obama - 45%
Without leaners
Obama - 46%
McCain - 43%
More evidence of a convention bump for Obama today, but will McCain’s supposedly unconventional Veep pick capture the imagination of swing voters and former, disgruntled Hillary voters?
And concerning Sarah Palin…Rasmussen reveals that nearly 7 in 10 voters don’t even really know her…
In the days Obama [...]

Obama scores a 5 point bump from yesterday to regain a sizable lead and hit the 48% mark for the first time since his overseas trip.

And, as Gallup notes, these numbers don’t take into account Clinton and Biden’s speeches…
The latest three-day Gallup Poll Daily tracking average (Aug. 25-27) is directly coincident with the first [...]

Well, the Republican Veepstakes just took another interesting turn, as whispers that not only has Rove asked Lieberman not to run, but he has also been asked to provide more information to the McCain camp.
From Politico:
AP’s Liz Sidoti reported: “Inside GOP circles Thursday, speculation swirled around Lieberman. It was fueled by reports that McCain’s advisers [...]

With leaners
McCain - 47%
Obama - 47%
Without leaners
Obama - 45%
McCain - 44%
Obama gained one in each set up numbers today so now he leads by 1 in the “without” leaners numbers, but he’s still not seeing any appreciable bump from the initial Biden announcement, and I think the time has officially passed when he could have [...]

Obama actually gains a net 3 today, with McCain losing 2 and him gaining 1. Obviously this race remains incredibly tight as we head towards the most important speech of Obama’s career on Thursday.

The details…
interviewing by Gallup on Tuesday night showed a stronger Obama performance, which could augur the beginnings of a bounce for [...]

With leaners
McCain - 47%
Obama - 46%
Without leaners
Obama - 44%
McCain - 44%
McCain edges up one and this is significant since he hasn’t really been above the 45% mark for a while in the “with leaners” numbers. So now this is two straight days, which could position him well for sustaining any type of bump he gets [...]

And so the tables have turned, at least for today. Of note, Obama hasn’t been at 44% for a LONG time. In fact, the last time was before he secured the nomination back in early June. The same goes for McCain, who hasn’t reached 46% since the same time period.
My guess as to why? The [...]

Same numbers as yesterday, and I think what we may be seeing here is a small backlash from Hillary supporters who were angered at the news that their gal hadn’t been picked as VP. But that may change after she speaks at the convention, especially if she makes the point that a vote for McCain [...]

With leaners
Obama - 48%
McCain - 45%
Without leaners
Obama - 46%
McCain - 42%
Obama gains one in the without leaners numbers to open up a semi-significant lead post Biden announcement.
How are the favorability and partisan numbers shaping up?
McCain is viewed favorably by 56% of the nation’s voters, Obama by 55%. Biden is now viewed favorably by 48% of [...]

Not that many were expecting a bounce from the Biden news, but the Obama camp can’t like the news that these numbers hint at.

The details…
Typically, presidential candidates have gotten a bump in the polls after naming their vice presidential running mate. Obama apparently received no immediate benefit in the polls from naming Biden as Gallup [...]

With leaners
Obama - 48%
McCain - 45%
Without leaners
Obama - 46%
McCain - 43%
Obama gains one today, and this is the first time since Berlin that he has enjoyed a 3 point lead in the “with leaners” numbers.
Rasmussen talks about voters’ reaction to the Biden announcement…
Yesterday, Obama announced that Joe Biden will be his running mate and the [...]

Are you a Hillary supporter who’s furious that Obama picked an old white guy for his Veep instead of the former First Lady?
Then this ad is for you…

On one hand it can be seen as a shrewd move aimed at the independent female voter or “security moms” who considered Hillary to be their own [...]

With leaners
Obama - 48%
McCain - 46%
Without leaners
Obama - 45%
McCain - 42%
The numbers jump a bit for Obama today, but we haven’t seen impact of the Biden announcement yet. It’ll be interesting to see what happens in the next couple days before the convention.
Rasmussen shares some data about the Veep nominee…
Biden—who had been the frontrunner all [...]

For the past 7 days, Obama has lead by 1 in 4 of the days, by 2 in 1 and has been tied with McCain 1 day. This is very similar to what Rasmussen is showing.

Gallup maps out the road ahead…
Political observers are awaiting the news of whom Obama has selected as his vice [...]