Archive for the 'Independents' Category

Rasmussen: McCain And Obama Tied

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Economy, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

McCain - 48%
Obama - 48%
McCain’s bounce is gone and the Palin pick doesn’t seem to have really helped him do much more than capture a couple weeks worth of news cycles.
Perhaps people are less enamored with McCain’s Veep pick given how serious our economic situation has become?
More on that…
As the financial sector meltdown continues, consumer [...]

September 18th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Gallup: Obama Up By 2

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

A 3 point swing for Obama today as his takes back the lead from McCain amid growing worries about the state of the economy.

As noted by Gallup…
Today’s report includes two days of interviewing conducted after reports of the collapse of Wall Street financial institutions and changes in the stock market began to dominate the [...]

September 17th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

Rasmussen: McCain Up By 1

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

McCain - 48%
Obama - 47%
Exact same numbers as yesterday as the race continues to remain tight. But this is good news for McCain if he’s able to stay just ahead of Obama because it means that undecideds are probably breaking for him.
And what about those “Wal-Mart Swing Voters”?
McCain leads 58% to 38% among those who [...]

September 17th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Gallup: McCain Up By 1

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

The bounce is gone, and Rasmussen and Gallup are showing the exact same spread at this point.

The details…
It is unclear to what extent this week’s headline news about the collapse of Wall Street financial institutions and changes in the stock market will affect the race. Obama has generally held the advantage when Americans are asked [...]

September 16th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

Rasmussen: McCain Up By 1

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans

McCain - 48%
Obama - 47%
McCain continues to drop slowly as the race is now back at neck and neck.
And since the economy is such a big issue these days…
Forty-nine percent (49%) of voters say they trust McCain more than Obama on the economy while 45% trust Obama.
The 5 day:
09/16/2008: McCain - 49%, Obama - [...]

September 16th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Chuck Todd Checks Out Electoral Shifts

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Electoral College, Independents, McCain, Palin, Republicans, Video

Following up on the heels of my previous post, we have this…

It’s neck and neck folks.
Who’s looking forward to the debates now?

September 15th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Colin Powell Still Undecided

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Independents, McCain

Like many swing voters this election, he’s waiting for the debates.
From CNN:
The election of an African-American president “would be electrifying,” Powell told a George Washington University audience, “but at the same time [I have to] make a judgment here on which would be best for America.
“I have been watching both individuals, I know them both [...]

September 15th, 2008 | Permalink| 7 Comments »

Gallup: McCain Up By 2

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

(Sorry folks. Title was wrong. Won’t happen again.)
The race has evened out, with McCain holding a tiny lead the past three days. Rasmussen and Gallup now show the exact same spread.

Gallup thinks that undecideds are probably breaking for McCain right now…
The percentage of undecided voters in Gallup Poll Daily tracking has ranged from 6% [...]

September 15th, 2008 | Permalink| 3 Comments »

Gallup: McCain Up By 2

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

McCain holds onto a very slim lead as we see the same spread as yesterday.

The details…
McCain had led by as many as five percentage points in recent days, but the margin has narrowed to a statistical tie in each of the last three reports.
The race has been competitive throughout the campaign, with neither candidate [...]

September 14th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Rasmussen: McCain Up By 3

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Republicans

With leaners
Obama - 47%
McCain - 50%
Without leaners
No Numbers
Both candidates gain 1 from yesterday, but the 3 points spread is exactly the same. This is significant for McCain because it represents the first time that he’s hit the 50% mark.
Here’s how the candidates are viewed in general, by their own party and by independents…
McCain is [...]

September 14th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Rasmussen: McCain Up By 3, 3

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

With leaners
Obama - 46%
McCain - 49%
Without leaners
Obama - 45%
McCain - 48%
No change from yesterday. Exactly the same.
Personally, I think the longer that McCain can keep this lead the better. Because it suggest that the Palin pick was sage and gives him the leg up going into the debates.
The 5 day w/leaners:
09/13/2008: McCain - 49%, [...]

September 13th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

Gallup: McCain Up By 2

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

McCain loses one from yesterday as his convention bounce steadily evaporates.

And about those conventions…
During the time period of the conventions, of course, the race underwent predictable “bounces” — first for Obama, who at one point had moved out to an eight percentange point lead, and then for McCain, who moved out to a five-point lead. [...]

September 13th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Gallup: McCain Up By 3

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

Obama gains 1 point from yesterday, and now Gallup and Rasmussen are showing the exact same spread for McCain.
This is probably a good indication that this is where the race is at, although Rasmussen showed a particularly big jump from yesterday to today so this sameness may not last.

Gallup has more…
These results, based on [...]

September 12th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Rasmussen: McCain Up 3, 3

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

With leaners
Obama - 46%
McCain - 49%
Without leaners
Obama - 45%
McCain - 48%
Looks like McCain may have received another bounce, as we have 3 and 5 points swings in the numbers.
Rasmussen shares how irregular this is…
It is unusual to find a three-point jump in one day on the tracking poll. Daily tracking results are collected via [...]

September 12th, 2008 | Permalink| 4 Comments »

Gallup: McCain Up By 4

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

McCain slips a point today, but still has a significant enough lead on Obama to claim the top spot.

Gallup shares that McCain’s lead is holding steady…
These results, based on Sept. 8-10 polling, show McCain continuing to ride his post-convention bounce. He has held a statistically significant lead over Obama in each of the last four [...]

September 11th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Rasmussen: Obama Up By 2, Tied

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, 9/11, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

With leaners
Obama - 48%
McCain - 46%
Without leaners
Obama - 46%
McCain - 46%
McCain’s bounce does seem to be over, as his “with leaners” numbers are dropping today on the 7th anniversary of 9/11.
And speaking of 9/11, Rasmussen takes a look at the direction we headed after that fateful day and finds Americans aren’t happy…
With the seventh [...]

September 11th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

Rasmussen: Obama Leads By 1, Tied

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Conventions, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

With leaners
Obama - 48%
McCain - 47%
Without leaners
Obama - 46%
McCain - 46%
Is the bounce over? The numbers would suggest they are as McCain drops a point in the “with leaners” numbers.
But what about that all important female vote?
Rasmussen Reports polling has consistently shown a similar result, but it is important to note that there is [...]

September 10th, 2008 | Permalink| 6 Comments »

Gallup: McCain Up By 5

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

No movement today as the post convention bounce remains steady for McCain.

Gallup alerts us that McCain’s lead could persist for a full month…
While the increased vote share a candidate receives following his convention usually diminishes, candidates who lead after the second convention usually remain the leader a month after the convention. This is based on [...]

September 9th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Rasmussen: McCain, Obama Tied

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Palin, Polls, Republicans

With leaners
Obama - 48%
McCain - 48%
Without leaners
Obama - 46%
McCain - 46%
Today’s numbers are revealing as they give us a sense that perhaps McCain’s bounce may have only closed the gap with Obama, but hasn’t really propelled him into any lead. And as those who follow these daily polls know, they represent a much steadier, accurate [...]

September 9th, 2008 | Permalink| 3 Comments »

Obama Responds To McCain’s Maverick Ad

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Biden, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Media, Palin, Republicans, Video

Wow, that was fast.

An effective response I think, especially against Palin’s Bridge To Nowhere claim.
What do you think?
UPDATE:
The ad doesn’t seem to be working anymore, so here’s the text of the ad…
They call themselves mavericks. Whoa. Truth is, they’re anything but. John McCain is hardly a maverick, when seven of his top campaign advisers are [...]

September 8th, 2008 | Permalink| 4 Comments »