‘ It’s Rick’s big night! The Iowa faith-based contingent really turned out this caucus for the underdog, and that should make waves in the evangelical community. Will they support a Mormon? I think that’s a tough call right now. They definitely could, but it depends on what this group decides. Personally, I think Santorum will [...]

Public Policy Polling is out with their final numbers and it’s a photo finish… It looks like pretty much everybody has lost support in this except Santorum and Gingrich. And Santorum hasn’t had millions of dollars in negative ads lobbed his way. Maybe that’s why his favorability numbers are so high… Santorum’s net favorability of [...]

Romney is still neck and neck with the Texas congressman, so it looks like it’s going to be an interesting caucus. From Public Policy Polling: The last week and a half has brought little change in the standings for the Iowa Republican caucus: Ron Paul continues to lead Mitt Romney by a modest margin, 24-20. [...]

Public Policy Polling is out with their latest numbers and they bode well for the perennial dark horse from Texas. First, let’s look at the numbers compared between the last poll and this one… So why has Newt lost traction? A few reasons… Gingrich has now seen a big drop in his Iowa standing two [...]

More poll numbers show nationwide support for a Cain presidency. From Des Moines Register: DES MOINES, Iowa – Herman Cain and Mitt Romney top The Des Moines Register’s new Iowa Poll, with the retired pizza executive edging the former Massachusetts governor 23 percent to 22 percent in the race for the Republican presidential nomination. Cain [...]

At least that’s what Haley Barbour is saying about her appearance at Rep. Steve King’s conference…and after watching this video I tend to agree. She really knows how to rile up a conservative crowd. Lots of good old fashiony call and response speechifying. So big deal, right? Well, when it comes to the caucuses in [...]

This is BIG news as it’ll ensure that a lot more people participate. From Des Moines Register: Sources from both the Iowa Democratic Party and Republican Party of Iowa say they are getting ready to jointly announce a date for the 2010 Iowa caucuses. For the first time, they’ll be held on a Saturday afternoon [...]

2012 is already ramping up for some folks. From Radio Iowa: A friend of mine in Des Moines, Iowa, got a phone call last night, testing out the names of potential 2012 GOP presidential candidates. It was an automated survey and did not indicate who the sponsor of the call might be, “but it was [...]

A speech from the Senate Majority Leader in Iowa sums it up pretty succinctly… This is why I’m telling folks that the marriage between the social conservatives and the fiscal conservatives is done. Because this next generation of voters favors progressive social policy in bigger numbers than any other generation in history. And fiscal conservatives [...]

A genuine surprise from the Hawkeye State today because the ruling was unanimous. Expect more of this type of thing to happen in the next couple years and challenge Obama’s opinion that gay marriage shouldn’t be legal… “The Iowa statute limiting civil marriage to a union between a man and a woman violates the equal [...]

Does this guy really want to be the sacrificial lamb in 2012? Because nobody’s going to blame Obama for this economic downturn (except hardcore Friedmanites), and if Obama creates 2.5 million jobs in the next few years, he’s got 2012 in the bag. In any event, here’s more from CNN: (CNN) — Bobby Jindal’s in [...]

If he’s truly thinking about running in 2012, I think that’s a mistake since he’ll literally be 41 years old at the time. Then again, that’s what they said about Obama a couple years ago, although Obama had more legislative experience when he ran than Jindal will have in 2012. And actually, both Huckabee and [...]

Sure, it’s just a book tour, but we all know what it’s really about. From NY Times: Mr. Huckabee’s new book could offer him a fresh platform to weigh in on the emerging debate over the Republican Party’s future. His Web site describes it as: “Huckabee’s amazing story, in his own words s — from [...]

79 electoral votes here for the Illinois senator. Moving on…

The poll of polls reveals Obama holding steady. Colorado… CNN’s new Colorado Poll of Polls shows Obama leading McCain by 6 points 51% to 45%; The last Colorado Poll of Polls –- released Saturday –- showed Obama leading McCain by 7 points. Florida… An average of polls conducted in battleground Florida, shows Obama leading McCain [...]

Looks like Palin mentioning ethanol subsidies in Iowa a couple days ago wasn’t a sign of her going “rogue.” In any event, here’s more from Politico: “On the subject of ethanol, my friends, I will open every market in the world to the best products in the world, and that’s the American agricultural farmer and [...]

In Iowa today she said she supported ethanol. Now, for anybody who knows about McCain’s opinions on ethanol subsidies, this is a BIG no no. In fact, he’s so famously against ethanol subsidies that he never even bothered running in Iowa this election cycle and instead focused on New Hampshire. And I think we’re all [...]

First, the story of a man who has never endorsed a Democrat… Former Iowa Congressman Jim Leach — a Republican — endorsed Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama this morning. Leach, as you may recall, lost his bid for re-election in 2006 after three decades representing portions of eastern Iowa in congress. Leach was considered a [...]

Obama – 49% McCain – 44% 3rd Party – 2% Undc’d – 5% The numbers above represent the “with leaners” numbers. Usually I include both in Rasmussen daily polling, but for the purposes of state polls, I’m going to just feature the “with leaners” up top. However, “without leaners” numbers still show a 5% margin [...]

I reported about his big push in Missouri, and now it appears as if he’s adding staff in the Hawkeye State too…which is a curious moves since Iowa has been leaning blue this entire election season. From Des Moines Register… Obama has 15 campaign offices open and staffed in Iowa, while McCain is still plotting [...]