What’s clear at this point is Obama will not get any sort of landslide.
Apparently the electorate isn’t THAT angry.
18 electoral votes to McCain.
Moving on…

From Ambinder…
Hispanics (projected to be 13% of the electorate in 2008) are giving Obama a 10 point margin; Bush won Hispanics in Florida by 12 points in 2004. Seniors seem to be breaking more heavily in favor of John McCain. Obama has a narrow edge among women; the two are tied among men in the [...]

No surprises here, although Georgia was seen as a possible landslide indicator for Obama.
Georgia has 15 electoral votes.
Alabama has 9.

No surprises here.
A total of 23 electoral votes.
Still…losing Pennsylvania was a killer.

Again, via Hotline…
- Obama leading men by 6% and women by 12%
- African-American turnout is 21% — unchanged from ‘04
- 90% of voters think the economy is not so good/poor — a group breaking 56-43% in Obama’s favor
- McCain leading 59-38% among white men and 57-43% among white women
More as it develops…

Via Hotline…
- Obama leading men by 2% and women by 9%
- African-American turnout to be 7% — identical to what it was in ‘04
- Obama leading Indies, who made up 23% of voters, 56-41%
And then, even bigger margins in Vigo county…
With 80 percent of the votes counted, Obama leads McCain in Vigo 57-42.
As my colleague [...]

Again, no surprise.
The state carries 3 electoral votes with it.

No surprise here.

The state has 8 electoral votes.

By significant margins in unfriendly counties…
Steuben: Kerry 34%, Obama 42%
DeKalb: Kerry 31%, Obama 38%
Knox: Kerry 36%, Obama 54%
Marshall: Kerry 31%, Obama 50%
Right now it’s neck and neck, with both candidates grabbing around 46,000 votes with 3% reporting.
More as it develops…

Let’s get ready to rumble.

Yes ladies and gentleman…progressive taxation is now akin to “robbing a bank.” Straight from Wurzelbacher’s mouth.
Amazing.

“Senator McCain has some great ideas but has not been able to communicate them in a way that would recognize the world has changed. Who knows whether there would have been a better candidate.”
- Jeb Bush in an interview with Miami’s CBS4.com
That really has to sting because it only reinforces that McCain has run [...]

This helpful map was created by the folks at Swing State Project

A few things that might be worth watching for as Election Night passes (all times Eastern, of course)
6:00 PM (Kentucky and Indiana): There’s little doubt that Kentucky will go for John McCain this year but there’s a serious question about Mitch McConnell’s Senate seat. [...]

Why is this significant? Because 51% of those were Dems, 30% were Repubs and 19% were Indies.
So with 2.6M votes already in the bank, Dems have at least 1.3M of those to Repubs 860K.
Still, the turnout on election day promises to be massive.
MSNBC reports…

This favors Obama, but I’m still not convinced Obama will pull [...]

An interesting bit of historical trivia drawn from a much-longer post about final poll numbers at my personal blog:
No Democrat has gotten more than 51% of the popular vote in a Presidential Election since Lyndon Johnson’s landslide in 1964. Jimmy Carter got 50.1% in 1976, and Bill Clinton got 43% in 1992 and 49.24% in [...]

It has all come down to this one day, and the folks at NBC show you what they’ll be watching for.

By the way, if you don’t know when polls close in your state, check out our post with ALL the closing times.
And get out there and vote!

Unless there are some very surprising results, John McCain will end the night as he started the race: the senior senator from Arizona. He will have lost his last chance to become president.
I don’t know what’s next for McCain. I hope he returns to the Senate with a revived energy, ready to be a formidable [...]

Marshall Manson offers some timely advice to the supporters of whoever happens to lose the election today:
Challenging the legitimacy of an election is a serious thing to do. And with occasional exceptions, charges of fraud are almost always overblown and based on unreliable, anecdotal data.
Over the last few years, too many on both sides have [...]

Why?
Because there’s no way they’ll match history…
With the final national polls settling around Obama +7, I realized that I lacked a good sense of historical context for that number. Turns out it’s about the margin of George H.W. Bush’s 1988 win against Michael Dukakis: 53.4% to 45.6%.
That’s certainly impressive. It doesn’t, however, really compare to [...]

This from FiveThirtyEight…
If there is one shocker on election night in the presidential race, cast your eyes to Georgia. 1,994,990 people voted early in Georgia. 3,301,875 total voted in Georgia’s presidential race in 2004.
We may be headed for something completely unexpected tonight.

If the early morning is any indication, it’s looking like turnout will be very heavy in Northern Virginia:
Lines formed hours early at polling places around the region this morning, as voters braced for unprecedented turnout and went out of their way to make sure they could cast their ballots.
Frank Douglas, a 67-year-old Woodbridge resident, was [...]