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Quinnipiac: Obama Leads By 6 In Michigan

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, McCain, Michigan, Polls, Republicans

Obama - 48%
McCain - 42%
The details…
Michigan women voters back Obama 52 - 38 percent, while men split with 46 percent for McCain and 45 percent for Obama.
White voters back McCain 48 - 42 percent, as black voters support Obama 89 - 6 percent.
The Democrat leads 57 - 36 percent among voters 18 to [...]

June 26th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Obama in Flint, MI

By donar | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Cartoons, Elections, Iraq, Michigan, Political Graffiti

June 17th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

The New Number: 2,118

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Florida, Hillary, Michigan

The totals are obviously dependent on different counts, but Obama now has about 2,052 and Clinton has about 1,877.
Here’s more…
In a huge blow to Hillary’s hopes, such as they are, the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee has now voted in favor of a compromise measure for Michigan, giving 69 pledged delegates to Hillary Clinton and [...]

May 31st, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Michigan Proposes 69-59 Pledged Delegate Split

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Michigan, Pledged Delegates

That’s in favor of Hillary, so she could come out of today with a net of 29 delegates if Florida is seated according to the compromise offered by Jon Ausman.
They determined this based on the actual vote, exit polls of who cast votes for “uncommitted” and voters who wrote in Obama’s name (those votes didn’t [...]

May 31st, 2008 | Permalink| 9 Comments »

Obama Supports Hillary 19 Delegate Florida Win

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Florida, Hillary, Michigan

If you’re not watching it live, Robert Wexler just spoke on behalf of the Obama campaign and he said they’d accept the Ausman petition
More from TPM:
“Senator Obama should be commended for his willingness to offer this extraordinary concession,” Wexler said, adding that he’s offering this concession “in order to promote reconciliation with Florida voters.”
Though Hillary’s [...]

May 31st, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

Bill Clinton Okay With Seating Half The Delegates?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Florida, Hillary, Michigan, Video

That’s apparently what he said a couple days ago…

I think this will be the likely outcome today. And frankly, I don’t see any other way it can happen without tearing the party apart.

May 31st, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Watch Democratic Rules & Bylaws Committee Meeting Live

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Florida, Michigan, Pledged Delegates, Super Delegates!!!, Video

On C-Span.org…
On MSNBC!

(by the way, I wish C-SPAN allowed embedding and then replaced whatever live feed they had with the recording of that feed. That would be great for us political bloggers…hint hint…)
I’m watching Robert Wexler make the case for Obama right now. He’s doing a very good job…because he’s talking about the actual, you [...]

May 31st, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Gallup: Obama Up By 10 Against Clinton

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Florida, Hillary, Michigan, Polls

I wonder what it’ll be after Saturday’s Michigan/Florida decision?

The details…
Since just after the North Carolina and Indiana primaries, Obama has led Clinton nearly every day, including a stretch of double-digit leads in the May 18-22 Gallup Poll Daily tracking releases. Since then, his advantage had been slightly less, at five to eight percentage points, but [...]

May 30th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Latest Democratic Delegate Totals

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Florida, Hillary, Michigan, Pledged Delegates, Super Delegates!!!

The numbers are starting to get a lot closer when you look at the different sources…
NY Times:
Obama - Pledged (1,656), Super (319.5), Total (1,975.5)
Clinton - Pledged (1,502), Super (274), Total (1,776)
50.5 for Obama to win, 250 for Clinton to win
CNN:
Obama - Pledged (1661), Super (317), Total (1,978)
Clinton - Pledged (1499), Super (281), Total (1,780)
48 for [...]

May 29th, 2008 | Permalink| 4 Comments »

DNC Lawyers: Michigan And Florida Can’t Seat Full Delegations

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Florida, Hillary, Michigan, Pledged Delegates, Super Delegates!!!

The last nail in Hillary’s coffin?
From TPM:
In what could potentially be a blow to Hillary’s electoral hopes, such as they are right now, the Democratic National Committee’s lawyers have declared that the Rules and Bylaws committee lacks the legal authority to seat the full Florida and Michigan delegations.
The DNC’s lawyers sent a memo late yesterday [...]

May 28th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

NY Gov David Paterson: Hillary’s Getting A Little Desperate

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Florida, Hillary, Michigan, Video

Even though he’s a pretty staunch Clinton supporter, Paterson gave an interview today and put it pretty bluntly…

It doesn’t get much plainer than that.
(h/t: TPM)

May 22nd, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

The Clinton Camp Has Officially Lost It

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Michigan

They want the 55 uncommitted delegates from Michigan to stay “uncommitted. ”
Umm…what was that about the will of the people again?
From Politico:
In a conference call with reporters, Clinton Senior Adviser Harold Ickes clarified their position on Michigan — they don’t want the 55 “uncommitted” delegates to go to Obama (his name did not appear on [...]

May 22nd, 2008 | Permalink| 9 Comments »

Hillary Compares Michigan And Florida Delegate Fight To Civil Rights Movement?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Florida, Hillary, Michigan

She didn’t, did she?
From Politico:
“In Florida, you learned the hard way what happens when your votes aren’t counted and the candidate with fewer votes is declared the winner,” she said. “The lesson of 2000 here in Florida is crystal clear: if any votes aren’t count, the will of the people isn’t realized and our democracy [...]

May 21st, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

Hillary Still Claims Popular Vote Lead

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Edwards, Hillary, Michigan

It’s all about Florida and Michigan for her, and MSNBC has the details about how she’s using this narrative to spin, spin, spin…
“There were some folks who didn’t want Kentucky to vote,” she said. “There are some folks, you can see them on TV every night, who wanted it to be over for me after [...]

May 18th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Obama Adds 2 More Superdelegates Today

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Michigan, Super Delegates!!!, Video, Wisconsin

College Democrats of America President Lauren Wolfe and Vice President Awais Khaleel endorse Obama today via YouTube:

However, since Wolfe is from Michigan, her vote will only count if the DNC comes to some sort of agreement with the state. That’s why I’m only adding 1 to Obama’s total below.
Post-Pennsylvania Delegate Pickups:
Obama - 56.5
Clinton - 14.5 [...]

May 14th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

According To Clinton Camp, 2,025 Is “A Phony Number”

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Florida, Hillary, Michigan, Pledged Delegates

The 2,025 number has been THE finish line since the beginning of the campaign. Not until the Clinton camp started to see their imminent demise did they start to make the argument that the “real” number is actually 2,209…which would include delegates from Florida and Michigan.
From Politico:
The Obama campaign agrees with the Democratic National Committee, [...]

May 8th, 2008 | Permalink| 6 Comments »

Michigan Primary Solution?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Michigan, Pledged Delegates

Bottom line, she’d get 10 more delegates than him. My guess is that he’ll probably accept this and she won’t.
However, the important part here is that this is being put forth by Michigan democrats, so it’s going to be very hard for her to say no at this point:
The state party’s executive committee voted Wednesday [...]

May 8th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

She Wouldn’t, Would She?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Florida, Hillary, Michigan, Pledged Delegates, Super Delegates!!!

I have serious doubts she would use the following “nuclear option” because it would ensure that Obama’s supporters would stay home. There are just too many landmines.
Still…there do seem to be whispers of a plan…
Hillary Clinton’s campaign has a secret weapon to build its delegate count, but her top strategists say privately that any attempt [...]

May 4th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Ron Paul Book Bomb Works, #1 On Amazon

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Books, Libertarian, McCain, Michigan, Money, Republicans, Ron Paul, The War On Terrorism

Ron Paul supporters are nothing if not passionate, and they’ve pushed his book to the top spot on the biggest online retail site in the world.
From CNN:
“The Revolution: A Manifesto”, released earlier this month, is currently No. 1 on the Web site’s list of top sellers, besting even Oprah’s latest Book Club selection.
“Despite a media [...]

April 30th, 2008 | Permalink| 6 Comments »

Clinton “Claims” Popular Vote Lead, ABC Refutes

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Democrats, Florida, Hillary, Media, Michigan

This from Clinton’s ironically titled “The Fact Hub” blog:
After last night’s decisive victory in Pennsylvania, more people have voted for Hillary than any other candidate, including Sen. Obama.
Estimates vary slightly, but according to Real Clear Politics, Hillary has received 15,095,663 votes to Sen. Obama’s 14,973,720, a margin of more than 120,000 votes. ABC News reported [...]

April 23rd, 2008 | Permalink| 13 Comments »