Archive for the 'Mississippi' Category

Rasmussen: McCain Leads By 6 In Mississippi

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Mississippi, Polls, Republicans

McCain - 50%
Obama - 44%
No change from last month with these numbers, but it should be noted that Bush won this state by 20 points in 2004, and 17 points in 2000.
The details…

While McCain has a solid 57% to 38% lead among men, Obama leads 49% to 44% among women.
Obama also dominates among the youngest [...]

July 1st, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Can Obama Put Mississippi In Play?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, McCain, Mississippi, Republicans

There’s been a lot of talk about Obama’s 50 state strategy, and while I don’t buy that idea completely, the Votemaster over at Electoral-vote.com notes that some states could be in play that would never be if a traditional candidate was running…
But Obama might put strange states in play, like Mississippi. About 37% of the [...]

June 6th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

The New Number: 2,026

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Mississippi, Pledged Delegates, Super Delegates!!!

With Childers’ win in Mississippi’s special election last night, another superdelegate has been added since all state representatives get a vote.
No word on who he’ll back, but Mississippi went really big (61% to 37%) for Obama.
By the way, Clinton and company have now revised their number to 2,210. I point this out only so [...]

May 14th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Republicans Worried About November

By Alan Stewart Carl | Related entries in 2008 Election, Congress, Mississippi, Republicans

Senior Republican Party leaders are quite alarmed that the party lost a special election in a Mississippi congressional district that was once considered solidly Republican (the district went for George Bush in 2004 by a 25 point margin). While some Republicans have tried to rationalize away the defeat, National Republican Congressional Committee chairman Tom Cole [...]

May 14th, 2008 | Permalink| 7 Comments »

Dems Pick Up 3rd Repub Special Election Seat In As Many Contests

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Democrats, Mississippi, Republicans

I haven’t followed this race, but this is the 3rd one in a row and could signal a big shift come November. Because this was in a district that voted 62% for Bush in 2004.
From The Hill:
Democrat Travis Childers won Tuesday’s Mississippi special election runoff for Sen. Roger Wicker’s (R) House seat, handing Democrats [...]

May 13th, 2008 | Permalink| 3 Comments »

Hillary Enjoying Limbaugh Effect?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, McCain, Mississippi, Ohio, Partisan Nonsense, Republicans, Texas

Personally, I never thought Rush had this much pull, but if we’re talking about 60,000 people here or 80,000 people there, it begins to make sense. Not a lot of voters are needed to really swing these things or make them closer than they would have been. And closing the gap even by 5% is [...]

March 17th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

On Race, Politics & False Assumptions

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Blogging, Louisiana, Mississippi, Race

Michael van der Galien wrote a post yesterday entitled, It’s All About Race. Needless to say it’s about Obama’s overwhelming support among black voters in Tuesday’s contest in Mississippi and why that’s happening.
Let’s take a look at Michael’s argument (note: Mississippi and Louisiana are mixed up here, so read everything in the following as commentary [...]

March 13th, 2008 | Permalink| 9 Comments »

Final: Obama Wins Mississippi 61% to 37%

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Hillary, Mississippi, Republicans

With 99% reporting, Obama has 253,441 and Clinton has 154,852. I don’t know how many delegates this put him up by now, but I’m pretty sure he regained any ground Clinton got last Tuesday.
And here’s an interesting footnote:
The conventional wisdom and to a significant degree the reality in many other states has been that Barack [...]

March 11th, 2008 | Permalink| 9 Comments »

Obama Wins Mississippi

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Hillary, Mississippi

The networks just called it…
MSNBC’s Chuck Todd is crunching the math right now on the air. If Obama gets 63% or more he’ll net nine delegates. If he gets less than that, he’s still likely to net seven — which, again, would equal Hillary’s March 4th gains.
And on the “Commander in Chief threshold” meme?
According to [...]

March 11th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

Obama Leading in Mississippi

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Hillary, Mississippi

Looks like he’s set to take it.
AP has more:
JACKSON, Miss. (AP) - Barack Obama seized the lead in the Mississippi primary Tuesday, latest in a string of racially polarized contests across the Deep South in the Democratic presidential campaign and a final tune-up before next month’s high-stakes race with Hillary Rodham Clinton in Pennsylvania.
Obama was [...]

March 11th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

If Obama Wins Mississippi Tomorrow, Has He Stopped Hillary’s Momentum?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Hillary, Mississippi, Partisan Hacks, Polls

Did anybody hear the latest Penn Spin™? You know, the memes from Clinton spinmeister Mark Penn that are so obviously intellectually dishonest you actually get dizzy from listening to them?
Well, here’s the latest gem about Hillary’s wins last Tuesday…
“We broke his momentum completely.”
Oh…losing my equilibrium…need to hold onto something…wait, there’s the truth…if I can just [...]

March 10th, 2008 | Permalink| 3 Comments »

Obama Set To Trounce In Mississippi

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Hillary, Mississippi

From TPM:
The American Research Group poll puts Obama way at 58% support, against Hillary Clinton’s 34%. Granted, ARG’s record for primaries this cycle has been spotty. Nevertheless, it would be pretty hard to get it totally wrong on a margin this big.
A big win next Tuesday could wipe out any delegate gain Hillary got this [...]

March 7th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »