These findings are actually quite a bit of surprise given how strong McCain’s brand is in the Granite State, but the key here is that Independents favor Obama by a 15 point spread.
Obama - 51%
McCain - 39%
Here’s how the demos break down…
Party ID of likely voters
Democrats - 31%
Republicans - 31%
Independent - 38%
Candidate preference by party [...]

I missed this earlier…
PORTSMOUTH, N.H.—A New Hampshire Democratic Party delegate who had supported John Edwards says he will support Barack Obama, now that Edwards has endorsed his former political rival for the party’s presidential nominee.
Joshua Denton of Portsmouth, 26, an Iraq war veteran, says he thinks that both Obama and Hillary Clinton would be a [...]

At a rally in Dover, New Hampshire, Barack Obama was interrupted by a group of abortion protestors. I think he handled the situation pretty well.

It was certainly a clever phrase, but it was rude of them to interrupt him. What do you think?

I know some of you commented in

I know the Ron Paul supporters really wanted this, and I honest don’t really think we’re going to find out anything new, but this is the transparency of democracy in action. For that reason alone I’m glad to see this is happening.
From Huff Post:
The recounts will begin on January 16, at a time and location [...]

Why then? Why not after Katrina?

Thanks to TPM Election Central for the video.

So last night, outside of a voting location in Manchester, New Hampshire, I ran into Mike Huckabee. Well… one of his supporters had built a peddle car, and brought it to the voting location. Huckabee took it for a little spin.
I also asked the governor why young voters should want him to be president. Then, [...]

Overall, I don’t think so. Here’s why.
Sure, there will be a few pundits here and there who talk about Hillary’s amazing comeback and how badly this has hurt his chances, but ultimately I think it’s going to swing back in Obama’s favor.
See, the poll numbers are what set the expectations. As such, the pollsters will [...]

I understand that the polls predicted a different result, but really, why is anyone surprised at how the New Hampshire vote turned out?
Libertarian, conservative New Hampshire has always loved McCain, and was going to be more comfortable with Massachusett’s Romney than southern preacher Huckabee. Likewise, centrist Clinton was a better play than liberal Obama or [...]

There’s no doubt that Ron Paul supporters have to be discouraged today. After all, New Hampshire was supposed to be his state. Sure, you’ll hear Paulites talking about how Nevada is actually going to be his state, and if that doesn’t pan out it’ll be California, but just because you have money to spend in [...]

1st Tier
Clinton: 71,278 for 39%
Obama: 65,334 for 36%
2nd Tier
Edwards: 26,683 for 17%
3rd Tier
Richardson: 7,599 for 5%
Kucinich: 2,291 for 2%
Biden: 391 for 0%
Gravel: 352 for 0%
Dodd: 214 for 0%
With 66% reporting

McCain: 26,158 for 37%
Romney: 20,792 for 30%
Huckabee: 8,328 for 12%
Giuliani: 6,137 for 9%
Paul: 5,660 for 8%
Thompson: 878 for 1%
Hunter: 402 for 1%
With 38% reporting.
(NOTE: I’ll be updating this sporadically because the race is already called for McCain)

NBC just called it since McCain has 37% with 11% of the precincts reporting.
15 minutes after the polls close? Wow.
Romney can’t be happy.

Looks like the turnout in the Dem primary is so mega that they’re calling for more ballots. One can only speculate that this will help Obama, McCain and Ron Paul.
From ABC:
New Hampshire Deputy Secretary of State Dave Scanlan told ABC News that turnout among primary voters today “absolutely huge” — and there are concerns about [...]

Remember when I said Ron Paul needed to finish 3rd in New Hampshire to go on, but would probably finish in 5th?
Well, one poll shows he could do just that and finish in a 3-way tie with Huckabee and Giuliani for the 3rd spot. That would be huge.
The reason? Independents love him in New Hampshire. [...]

He’s now at 42%
Hillary and Kucinich stayed steady at 29% and 2% respectively, while Edwards is now at 17%, down from 19%. This basically spells doom for him I think. Richardson has also lost a point, going from 5% to 6%, so I don’t know if he’s really going to want to stick around [...]

Earlier today I wrote about Romney holding strong over the weekend, and now I find a column from Joe Klein talking about McCain potentially missing his chance to land a legitimate deathblow in favor of personal jabs.
Is a meme emerging?
From TIME:
Meanwhile, McCain was nowhere. His answers lacked zing. He seemed tired. He was unable [...]

Looks like McCain is pretty much neck and neck with Romney. He pulls 34%, while Romney takes 29%. That’s pretty much right where the numbers were at before the caucuses. If Romney can tie McCain it will really help him make a “comeback” story.
From Zogby:
“Among Republicans, McCain leads Romney among Independents 43% to 26%, voters [...]

Something big is happening because we’re talking about a 16 point swing if you look at his numbers from before Iowa to today. He now takes 39% to Hillary’s 29%.
Here’s how those numbers break down:
“This full sample is after Iowa. On the Democratic side, we have clarity and confirmation of what is being felt on [...]

If Mitt Romney had won Iowa, things would be so different. But he didn’t and he’s seems to be suffering a very similar fate to Hillary right now. Still, some polls show he’s holding his own.
McCain’s gains?
A 6 point gain from CNN.
A 4 point gain from USA Today.
An 8 point gain from Strategic Vision.
A 2 [...]