Archive for the 'North Carolina' Category

78% North Carolina: Obama 56%, Clinton 42%

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, North Carolina

These numbers from MSNBC:
Obama - 725,161 - 56%
Clinton - 543,476 - 42%
These numbers have been fairly steady for the past hour.
By the way, Zogby predicted it would be a 14% win.
He also thought Obama would win by 2% in Indiana.
We shall see…

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

Obama Seen As Most Electable In North Carolina, Indiana

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, North Carolina, Polls

That from Sam Stein…
n Indiana, despite the fact that the numbers portend a Clinton win, Obama is viewed as the nominee best able to win the White House, by a margin of 50 to 47 percent. In North Carolina, according to CNN, that divide is even more pronounced: “voters gave the edge to Barack Obama: [...]

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Obama Gets New Voters Almost 3 to 1 In North Carolina

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, North Carolina

From ABC News:
The Illinois senator also benefited from a surge of new voters; 18 percent in North Carolina said it was their first time voting in a primary, and they favored him by a vast 68-26 percent.
Also, the exit polls show VERY strong African-American support…
Nearly unanimous support among African-Americans lifted Barack Obama to easy [...]

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Obama Wins Easily In North Carolina

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, North Carolina

In fact, it’s looking like the double digit victory he apparently needed to prove he had moved past the Reverend Wright controversy.
This from Drudge…
FLASH: It looks like Hillary’s last, best chance of closing delegate gap is slipping away tonight. With clock running out on her, if she couldn’t make up ground this week, it’s impossible [...]

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| 3 Comments »

Record African-American Turnout In North Carolina?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, North Carolina

That’s the word on the ground…
I just got off the phone with Mike Ash, Director of the Durham County Board of Elections in Durham, NC. He doesn’t have any numbers as far as percentages of eligible voters making it to the polls at this point, but said several polling locations have already hit record numbers. [...]

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Record Turnout In North Carolina

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Independents, McCain, North Carolina, Republicans

As with every single contest in the Democratic nomination contest this year. One can’t help but think this is putting the Republicans at a distinct disadvantage this fall.
From Charlotte Observer:
A heavy turnout was reported this morning at some polling places across North Carolina in the state’s first significant presidential primary election in two decades.
Longtime N.C. [...]

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Clinton Expecting Big Defeat In North Carolina?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, North Carolina, Polls

So says Drudge. By 15 points no less.
The details…
Hillary Clinton’s inner circle now fears a stinging defeat is likely in North Carolina.
“Look, we worked hard and gave it our best shot, but the demographics, well, they are what they are,” a top campaign source explained to the DRUDGE REPORT as voting began Tuesday morning. [...]

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Zogby: Obama Opens Up 14 Point Lead In North Carolina

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, North Carolina, Polls

This is starting to remind me of New Hampshire, but at least his numbers add up to 100% today.
Yesterday he had the race at:
Obama - 48%
Clinton - 40%
Other - 5%
Not Sure - 8%
Total - 101%
Today:
Obama - 51%
Clinton - 37%
Other - 4%
Not Sure - 8%
Total - 100%
Now, the big caveat here is that’s a pretty big [...]

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

SurveyUSA: Obama’s Lead Now Just 5 In North Carolina

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, North Carolina, Polls

He leads by 16 points among those who’ve already voted, which is apparently already 25% of the voting base. We talked yesterday about how 8% had already voted by Friday, so that number seems to have really ramped up since the information I posted about was fresh.
In any event, here are the details…
The contest is [...]

May 5th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Public Policy Polling: Obama Leads By 10 In North Carolina

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, North Carolina, Polls

These are the same folks who missed Pennsylvania by a lot, but they find the same “steady” trend that others are seeing so they may not be too far off.
The details…
Barack Obama still leads by ten points in North Carolina, according to Public Policy Polling’s final survey of the state.
He has a 53-43 lead, the [...]

May 5th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Zogby’s North Carolina And Indiana Polls Add Up To 101%

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, North Carolina, Polls

I’m not exactly sure what’s up with his numbers today, but as stated in the title they BOTH add up to 101%, which seems pretty sloppy. Obviously, I understand the idea of rounding up, but this seems akin to Clinton winning by 9.2% in Pennsylvania and the media reporting she actually won by double digits.
Here’s [...]

May 5th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

North Carolina Already At 8% Turnout

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, McCain, North Carolina, Republicans

Early voting and mail in has produced 470,878 votes or 50% of the turnout from 2004, which saw 16% of the voting base come out to join in the fun. Granted, it wasn’t competitive then, but it’s still impressive that early voting this year is so avid.
What’s even more interesting is that 326,090 Democrats voted [...]

May 4th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Zogby: Obama North Carolina Lead Steady, Gains 1 In Indiana

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, North Carolina, Polls

It’s Obama/Clinton, 48/39. Yesterday it was 46/37.
So both Hillary and Barack added 2 since yesterday as the “someone else” category shrunk by 3 to 5% and 1% undecideds made up their mind for a new 8%.
Here’s more on NC:
Obama leads by 16 points among voters age 35-54, the largest age grouping in the survey. [...]

May 4th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Zogby: Obama Shrinks In North Carolina, Indiana Still Tied

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, North Carolina, Polls

Yesterday’s numbers for North Carolina were Obama/Clinton, 50/34. Today it’s 46/37.
The details:
Obama leads in all age groups with one exception - those age 70 and older, where the two are essentially tied. But Clinton closed the gap in some age groups, compared to yesterday’s two-day tracking report.
Clinton expanded her lead among white voters in North [...]

May 3rd, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Rasmussen: Obama’s Lead Cut To Single Digits In North Carolina

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, North Carolina, Polls

Previously the contest stood at Obama/Clinton, 51/37. Now it’s 49/40.
More details…
The demographic results in North Carolina are similar to the dynamics seen nationally and in most primaries—Clinton leads by twenty-three points among White voters while Obama leads 74% to 10% among African-Americans. Clinton leads among senior citizens, the candidates split those in the 50-64 age [...]

May 2nd, 2008 | Permalink| 4 Comments »

Poll: Obama Up 11 In North Carolina

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, North Carolina, Polls

American Research Group has the race at Obama/Clinton, 52/41. There has been virtually no change in these numbers since late March.
The details…
Obama leads among men 55% to 39% and he leads among women 50% to 43%.
Clinton leads among white voters 55% to 37% and Obama leads among African American voters 81% to 15%.
African [...]

May 2nd, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Hillary Talks Upset In North Carolina?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, North Carolina

She is quoted as saying today…
“This primary election on Tuesday is a game changer. This is going to make a huge difference in what happens going forward. The entire country – probably even a lot of the world is looking to see what North Carolina decides.”
This is interesting. Maybe her internal polling is telling her [...]

May 2nd, 2008 | Permalink| 6 Comments »

Zogby: Obama Up Big In North Carolina, Tied In Indiana

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, North Carolina, Polls

Zogby was sketchy earlier in the season, but he was nearly dead on in Pennsylvania, so these numbers might tell a similar story.
In North Carolina, he leads 50 to 34, with 8 saying they’ll vote for somebody else (my guess is it’ll be John Edwards) and 8 remaining undecided.
Here’s more detail…
Clinton leads by 10 points [...]

May 2nd, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Poll: Obama Leads By 7 In North Carolina

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, North Carolina, Polls

This the latest Mason Dixon poll shows him slipping for a double digit lead as a result from fallout about Wright. The contest now stands at Obama/Clinton, 49/42 with 9% undecided.
From WRAL:
A WRAL news poll released Wednesday shows Barack Obama’s double-digit lead over Hillary Clinton among Tar heel Democrats is eroding.
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. [...]

May 1st, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

Poll: Hillary Leads By 2 In North Carolina

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, North Carolina, Polls

Could she win the Tar Heel State? She’s was trailing by double digits in a previous poll, but now she’s leading 44/42 with 14 undecided. And as we’ve seen lately, undecideds break for Hill.
More from Souther Political Report…
“Our polling generally does not indicate the eventual compression of black voters that Obama usually enjoys just before [...]

May 1st, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »