Obama - 49%
McCain - 42%
He has a clear lead here, but this is down from a 52% to 40% lead last month, so it’s certainly something for the Obama folks to make sure they’re noticing. However, not really a big cause for concern…yet.
Demo details…

Obama leads 50% to 39% with women.
Obama also leads 48% to 44% [...]

Today, we take a look back at this week in the election and also have an in-depth discussion about the Obama Campaign’s general election strategy.
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Obama - 46%
McCain - 42%
Obama actually gained 1 point and McCain lost 1, so he gained some ground this month.
Demo details…
Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Pennsylvania Democrats support Obama, up from 63% in May. The Democratic candidate has an eleven point edge among unaffiliated voters, little changed over the past month.
Party support is firming up for [...]

Obama - 52%
McCain - 40%
A commanding lead by Obama in a state some thought would be a question mark for him given his loss in the primaries to Clinton.
The demographic numbers…
Obama tops McCain 57 - 34 percent with women as men go 47 percent for McCain to 45 percent for Obama. Obama leads 61 - [...]

That’s the word from somebody who backed Clinton, and it ain’t pretty…
U.S. Rep. Rob Andrews, who supported Hillary Clinton throughout the primary season, disclosed he received a phone call shortly before the April 22 Pennsylvania primary from a top member of Clinton’s organization and that the caller explicitly discussed a strategy of winning over Jewish [...]

This is almost the exact same post I wrote a couple days ago, and so far she’s simply running in place, unable to add any to her total.
First, she lost Rep. Donald Payne from New Jersey with the congressman citing the reason as trying to pull the party together…
“After careful consideration, I have reached the [...]

So it’s 8 to 4 post-Pennsylvania in Obama’s favor since he announced an additional superdelegate today.
From PennLive:
Hillary Rodham Clinton will pick up the support of another influential superdelegate this morning when Bill George declares his support for the senator from New York.
George, the president of the Pennsylvania AFL-CIO, had been one of six remaining undeclared [...]

Joe Klein takes stock of the Pennsylvania primary aftermath and decides Barack Obama was hurt by the six-week campaign
[Obama] entered the primary as a fresh breeze and left it stale, battered and embittered — still the mathematical favorite for the nomination but no longer the darling of his party. In the course of six weeks, [...]

The numbers are still shifting in the race, but with .49% left to report Hillary still hasn’t hit the “double digits” the media is widely misreporting today.
Here are the numbers…
Clinton - 1,238,232 - 54.6%
Obama - 1,030,703 - 45.4%
Clinton popular pickup - 207,529
What’s curious about these numbers is these were the totals this morning…
Clinton: [...]

Six more weeks of negative vibes :(

She actually didn’t break the 10% threshold that was widely reported.
Official Vote Total
Clinton: 1,235,067 - 54.3%
Obama: 1,041,366 - 45.7%
Clinton popular pickup - 193,701
PA Pledged Delegates (via CBS)
Clintpn - 82
Obama - 69
Clinton delegate pickup - 13
Total Pledged Delegates
Obama - 1,482
Clinton - 1,328
Obama pledged delegate lead - 154
Total Delegates
Obama - 1,710
Clinton - 1,584
Obama total delegate lead - [...]

This is the homestretch and if she can hold this, she might just be able to get the double digits she needed out of PA.
Some realities…

97% of Philadelphia county has reported their results, so it’s unlikely Obama will gain much from his biggest support base in the state.
Lehigh county has only reported 60% so far, [...]

It’s Clinton/Obama - 54/46…
Sure, it’s not double digits for Hill, but it’s damn close.
Here’s the raw count…
Hillary Clinton - 855,147 - 54% - 37 delegates
Barack Obama - 718,294 - 46% - 31 delegates
I’m checking with CNN and MSNBC for the latest results.
Oh, and just for fun…here are the Republican numbers…
John McCain - 344,568 - 72%
Ron [...]

That much everybody expected. By how big a margin is the question now.
From ABC:
As the results pour in, pundits, Democrats, and the media will characterize whether Clinton won by a large enough margin of victory. Devine and other Democrats have long argued the New York senator needed to win the Keystone State over Obama by [...]

A lot of people have been asking “what’s a win for Hillary tonight?”
Well, the whispers have been she has to win by double digits, and that’s certainly doable. However, the New York Times sets a higher bar when you look at it from a popular vote delegate standpoint…
Mr. Obama has now drawn 13.3 million votes, [...]

From NY Times:
“Let’s just say it’s very busy,” said Joseph Passarella, the director of voter services for Montgomery County, sounding a little harried. “Our phones have been ringing since 6:15 this morning and have been ringing nonstop. We’ve never had a primary election this busy.”
Voting lines were long and voter-service phone lines were jammed across [...]

This last week she apparently ran nothing but attack ads against Obama and that could have hurt her.
From ABC:
Despite all the down-to-the-wire campaigning, preliminary exit poll results indicate that nearly eight in 10 Pennsylvania voters made up their minds at least a week ago, and six in 10 decided on their candidate more than a [...]

That’s the word from the exit polls we’re seeing now.
Here’s some demo info:
Women
Clinton 55
Obama 44
Men
Clinton 47
Obama 53
Also, here’s a tidbit from Politico which might not be good news for Obama…
The cities and suburbs usually report their returns first, which gives the candidate favored in those areas a quick – and sometimes fleeting – lead. The [...]

Oddly enough, by repeating the strategy Hillary supporter Ed Rendell used against Obama support Bob Casey, Jr. in the 2002 Democratic gubernatorial primary.
From Politico:
Rendell won that closely contested race with a coalition of African Americans and upscale, highly educated white voters—a coalition like the one assembled by Obama. Casey focused on blue collar workers, union [...]

Zogby has shown Hill’s lead widening in these crucial final days and now the spread stands at Clinton/Obama - 51/41, up from 48/42 yesterday.
The last word:
Pollster John Zogby: “Sounds like a radio station’s call letters, but remember WECM – white, ethnic, Catholic, men. That is what put Clinton into her double digit lead here in [...]