It’s Clinton/Obama – 54/46… Sure, it’s not double digits for Hill, but it’s damn close. Here’s the raw count… Hillary Clinton – 855,147 – 54% – 37 delegates Barack Obama – 718,294 – 46% – 31 delegates I’m checking with CNN and MSNBC for the latest results. Oh, and just for fun…here are the Republican [...]

That much everybody expected. By how big a margin is the question now. From ABC: As the results pour in, pundits, Democrats, and the media will characterize whether Clinton won by a large enough margin of victory. Devine and other Democrats have long argued the New York senator needed to win the Keystone State over [...]

A lot of people have been asking “what’s a win for Hillary tonight?” Well, the whispers have been she has to win by double digits, and that’s certainly doable. However, the New York Times sets a higher bar when you look at it from a popular vote delegate standpoint… Mr. Obama has now drawn 13.3 [...]

From NY Times: “Let’s just say it’s very busy,” said Joseph Passarella, the director of voter services for Montgomery County, sounding a little harried. “Our phones have been ringing since 6:15 this morning and have been ringing nonstop. We’ve never had a primary election this busy.” Voting lines were long and voter-service phone lines were [...]

This last week she apparently ran nothing but attack ads against Obama and that could have hurt her. From ABC: Despite all the down-to-the-wire campaigning, preliminary exit poll results indicate that nearly eight in 10 Pennsylvania voters made up their minds at least a week ago, and six in 10 decided on their candidate more [...]

That’s the word from the exit polls we’re seeing now. Here’s some demo info: Women Clinton 55 Obama 44 Men Clinton 47 Obama 53 Also, here’s a tidbit from Politico which might not be good news for Obama… The cities and suburbs usually report their returns first, which gives the candidate favored in those areas [...]

Oddly enough, by repeating the strategy Hillary supporter Ed Rendell used against Obama support Bob Casey, Jr. in the 2002 Democratic gubernatorial primary. From Politico: Rendell won that closely contested race with a coalition of African Americans and upscale, highly educated white voters—a coalition like the one assembled by Obama. Casey focused on blue collar [...]

Zogby has shown Hill’s lead widening in these crucial final days and now the spread stands at Clinton/Obama – 51/41, up from 48/42 yesterday. The last word: Pollster John Zogby: “Sounds like a radio station’s call letters, but remember WECM – white, ethnic, Catholic, men. That is what put Clinton into her double digit lead [...]

With 7 percent undecided, she has the advantage 49 to 45. Here’s more… Overall, in the Keystone State, Clinton is now viewed favorably by 71% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters. Obama gets favorable reviews from 69%. Clinton’s favorable ratings in the state peaked in early March at 77%. Obama’s peaked in late March at 73%. [...]

Let’s get right into it with Strategic Vision, who had Hillary leading 49/40, but now shows Hill with a 7 point lead 48/41. Next, SurveyUSA shows Obama gaining 4 and Hill losing 4 for a Clinton/Obama spread of 50/44 contest. Here’s why… A large shift of support occurred in the Philadelphia area and other parts [...]

Less than 24 hours before the polls open in PA and the Clinton camp has to be encouraged by these polls, but not overjoyed. Because while these numbers show movement her way, there are other numbers to suggest Obama’s gaining. First, Suffolk University shows Hill leading by 10, 52/42. This is their first poll of [...]

A quick glance at these new numbers (Clinton/Obama – 54/41) by American Research Group, you’d think this is pretty bad news for Obama. But ARG was the one with that shock poll last week that had Hillary leading by 20 (57/37)…only a week after they showed the two tied (45/45). But instead of looking at [...]

The findings: Clinton/Obama, 46/43. Any which way you slice it, the race is tight and all the polls we’ve seen. So unless something crazy happens on Monday, Hillary simply isn’t going to get the big win she needs. Here’s Zogby: “Okay, so let’s play Confound the Pollsters. Obama, who polled a mere 40% yesterday had [...]

Is this a record for a competitive primary event? I searched around but all I found were more links to similar stories about Obama in Philly. From AP: PHILADELPHIA (AP) – Barack Obama was greeted by the largest crowd of his campaign Friday night in Philadelphia. Some 35,000 people jammed into Independence Park to see [...]

Pollster aggregates them all and shows a very close race. I think Hillary is headed for a win, but by how much is the big question. Because any way you slice it, there’s still 10% undecided and if they break big for Hillary she could be looking at double digits. What do you think? Will [...]

It was 50/41 last Monday…now it’s 47/44. The details… Obama’s support appears to be a bit softer than Clinton’s at this point in time. Six percent (6%) of Obama voters say there’s a good chance they could change their mind before voting. Only 2% of Clinton supporters say the same. Overall, with less than a [...]

Her lead is still within the margin of error at 47/43, but that’s up from 45/44. The details… No ground really gained or lost by either candidate after Wednesday’s debate. The one day sample had Clinton leading by 4 points. She is solid with Catholics, whites, Hispanics, and older voters. Obama holds his strong support [...]

Media critic Tom Shales lays it out… For the first 52 minutes of the two-hour, commercial-crammed show, Gibson and Stephanopoulos dwelled entirely on specious and gossipy trivia that already has been hashed and rehashed, in the hope of getting the candidates to claw at one another over disputes that are no longer news. Some were [...]

First, Gallup shows he has dipped below 50% for the first time in 5 days (49/42), but he still maintains more than a statistically significant lead…for the 11th day in a row. Then, Rasmussen has almost the exact same numbers (48/41), showing a pretty steady “national lead” trend for the Illinois senator… In the race [...]

She has a 1 point advantage on him 45/44, but the margin of error is 4.1%, so they’re tied for all intents and purposes. The telling bits? Hillary leads big in western Pennsylvania, while Obama leads in the eastern part of the state. A large gender gap, with both candidates capturing their respective sex by [...]