Zogby has shown Hill’s lead widening in these crucial final days and now the spread stands at Clinton/Obama - 51/41, up from 48/42 yesterday.
The last word:
Pollster John Zogby: “Sounds like a radio station’s call letters, but remember WECM – white, ethnic, Catholic, men. That is what put Clinton into her double digit lead here in [...]

With 7 percent undecided, she has the advantage 49 to 45.
Here’s more…
Overall, in the Keystone State, Clinton is now viewed favorably by 71% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters. Obama gets favorable reviews from 69%. Clinton’s favorable ratings in the state peaked in early March at 77%. Obama’s peaked in late March at 73%.
This is the [...]

Let’s get right into it with Strategic Vision, who had Hillary leading 49/40, but now shows Hill with a 7 point lead 48/41.
Next, SurveyUSA shows Obama gaining 4 and Hill losing 4 for a Clinton/Obama spread of 50/44 contest. Here’s why…
A large shift of support occurred in the Philadelphia area and other parts of Southeast [...]

Less than 24 hours before the polls open in PA and the Clinton camp has to be encouraged by these polls, but not overjoyed. Because while these numbers show movement her way, there are other numbers to suggest Obama’s gaining.
First, Suffolk University shows Hill leading by 10, 52/42. This is their first poll of the [...]

A quick glance at these new numbers (Clinton/Obama - 54/41) by American Research Group, you’d think this is pretty bad news for Obama. But ARG was the one with that shock poll last week that had Hillary leading by 20 (57/37)…only a week after they showed the two tied (45/45).
But instead of looking at the [...]

The findings: Clinton/Obama, 46/43.
Any which way you slice it, the race is tight and all the polls we’ve seen. So unless something crazy happens on Monday, Hillary simply isn’t going to get the big win she needs.
Here’s Zogby:
“Okay, so let’s play Confound the Pollsters. Obama, who polled a mere 40% yesterday had a good today [...]

Is this a record for a competitive primary event? I searched around but all I found were more links to similar stories about Obama in Philly.
From AP:
PHILADELPHIA (AP) - Barack Obama was greeted by the largest crowd of his campaign Friday night in Philadelphia. Some 35,000 people jammed into Independence Park to see the Democratic [...]

Pollster aggregates them all and shows a very close race.

I think Hillary is headed for a win, but by how much is the big question. Because any way you slice it, there’s still 10% undecided and if they break big for Hillary she could be looking at double digits.
What do you think? Will she go [...]

It was 50/41 last Monday…now it’s 47/44.
The details…
Obama’s support appears to be a bit softer than Clinton’s at this point in time. Six percent (6%) of Obama voters say there’s a good chance they could change their mind before voting. Only 2% of Clinton supporters say the same.
Overall, with less than a week to go, [...]

Her lead is still within the margin of error at 47/43, but that’s up from 45/44.
The details…
No ground really gained or lost by either candidate after Wednesday’s debate. The one day sample had Clinton leading by 4 points.
She is solid with Catholics, whites, Hispanics, and older voters. Obama holds his strong support among African [...]

Media critic Tom Shales lays it out…
For the first 52 minutes of the two-hour, commercial-crammed show, Gibson and Stephanopoulos dwelled entirely on specious and gossipy trivia that already has been hashed and rehashed, in the hope of getting the candidates to claw at one another over disputes that are no longer news. Some were barely [...]

First, Gallup shows he has dipped below 50% for the first time in 5 days (49/42), but he still maintains more than a statistically significant lead…for the 11th day in a row.

Then, Rasmussen has almost the exact same numbers (48/41), showing a pretty steady “national lead” trend for the Illinois senator…
In the race for the [...]

She has a 1 point advantage on him 45/44, but the margin of error is 4.1%, so they’re tied for all intents and purposes.
The telling bits?

Hillary leads big in western Pennsylvania, while Obama leads in the eastern part of the state.
A large gender gap, with both candidates capturing their respective sex by 15%.
Young voters favor [...]

8:59
Worst “debate” ever. ABC really botched this one. I could actually feel myself getting dumber with each passing minute in that first hour.
Good night folks! More tomorrow.
8:55
HAHA! They’re going to Jake Tapper? WTF?
He talks specifically about the Obama character memes. Not the issues in the second half, just the dirt. Thanks for the “insight” Jake.
The [...]

Of note…the race seems to trending towards single digits.
First, Strategic Vision has the race 49/40.
Then the Franklin and Marshall poll, supposedly a very well respected one, shows a tightening race with a 46/40 split.
Here’s more…
But experts said that the survey may not fully show the impact of Obama’s statements last week that small-town Americans are [...]

Also, he leads by 13 in North Carolina.
Here are the numbers:
Pennsylvania
Clinton 46, Obama 41
Indiana
Obama 40, Clinton 35
North Carolina
Obama 47, Clinton 34
Also, LA Times has some realities about BitterGate and RevWrightGate:
In Pennsylvania, the flap seems to have marginally helped Obama more than hurt him: 24% said his handling of the issue made them think more highly [...]

According to CQ Politics, not many…
[...] a CQ Politics analysis of the political circumstances in Pennsylvania’s congressional districts, detailed below, projects an edge to Clinton — but by just 53 district-level delegates to 50 for Obama under the Democratic Party’s proportional distribution rules.
These numbers suggest that Clinton, even with a victory in Pennsylvania, would make [...]

The results have remained static since a week ago (Clinton 50/ Obama 44), and that has to hearten Hillary supporters.
From Quinnipiac:
In this latest survey of 2,103 likely Democratic primary voters by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University, 26 percent of Clinton supporters would switch to Arizona Sen. John McCain, the Republican, in November if Obama [...]

That 20 point ARG poll today? Well, it was obviously a shocker, but what’s more telling is the story when the polls are aggregated…

Here’s more from Mark Blumenthal explaining the above graphic…
[...] the black trend line continues to show Clinton’s margin declining because the regression model that generates it gives greater weight to the larger [...]

American Research Group has a shock poll out today that shows a 20 point swing in a matter of 6 days…and I think this poll started before Obama’s “bitter” comment.
Check it out:
April 5 - 6:
Clinton: 45%
Obama: 45%
April 11 - 13:
Clinton: 57%
Obama: 37%
Some details from ARG:
Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama 48% to 44% among men [...]