Texas hasn’t had a relevant primary campaign in over a generation. Maybe that’s why both Democratic candidates seemed so clueless here. They know how to address the Iowa agricultural community, the New Hampshire independent streak, the South Carolina African Americans. They even do pretty well with the myriad of local concerns and interests found within [...]

From Pollster come the trends.
First, Texas…

To me, this shows the “It’s 3 a.m.” ad is working, even though others say it has little effect on undecideds. Personally, I do think the Texas contest favors Obama because of the popular vote/caucus mix, and I think that’s why he’s going to be in Texas tomorrow night.
Now, Ohio…

It’d [...]

That’s the claim from Mark Penn, so take that for what it’s worth…
From TPM:
Mark Penn, on a conference call with reporters just now, suggested that that the controversial red-phone-ringing-at-3-A.M. ad is resonating with “millions” of voters.
Asked for some evidence of this, Penn asserted that the campaign’s internal polls support the claim. “What we’re seeing internally,” [...]

Could mw be right? Could Andrew Sullivan’s worst nightmares come true?
Two polls show Hillary closing the gap and even leading in Texas.
First, Public Policy Polling (pdf) shows Hill with 50% to Obama’s 44%.
Then, Rasumuseen shows a dead heat:
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey, conducted Sunday, finds Barack Obama with a statistically insignificant one-point lead over [...]

What else can one make from this remark about the March 4th contests?
Meanwhile, Bill Richardson said on Face The Nation today that it’s important for the party to unify behind a nominee soon, rather than continue to have a negative campaign that will further divide the party for the general election against John McCain.
“I just [...]

She was stumping for Hillary in Texas and I can’t imagine she will be again any time soon. Of course, Hillary’s campaign may be over soon so this may be a complete non issue. At the very least, Hillary should denounce AND reject the following.
From New York Observer:
“Suppose John McCain had been Joan McCain and [...]

The Story is all that matters to her campaign now. The Story that Clinton wins all the big states except Illinois. The Story that momentum has shifted. The Story that Hillary Clinton is the new “comeback kid“. The Story is all that is needed to provide political cover for the superdelegates to vote for Clinton at the convention.

Me thinks she thinks we be dumb…
Senator Obama has campaigned hard in these states. He has spent time meeting editorial boards, courting endorsers, holding rallies, and - of course - making speeches.
If he cannot win all of these states with all this effort, there’s a problem.
Should Senator Obama fail to score decisive victories with all [...]

Yesterday, I went to the polls here in Texas. I gave myself twenty minutes to vote, twice as much time as it usually takes at the local early voting location. Almost an hour later, I finally cast my ballot.
The Republican and Democratic voters all waited in the same line but you could tell who was [...]

Remember, if Obama wins Texas, it’s all over. That’s been the Clinton campaign’s contention all along, and even Bill said if she didn’t win both Texas and Ohio, she wouldn’t get the nomination.
First we have Texas, where Obama is showing surprising strength:
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Obama attracting 48% of the vote while [...]

They say everything is bigger down here in Texas. Everything is also more complicated. The byzantine rules for the state’s upcoming primary must have been developed after a wild night of margaritas and cervezas on 6th Street. When all is said and done, the winner of the popular vote could very easily come out with [...]

Wonkette has an exclusive interview with the man who Ron Paul refuses to debate…
Here’s Peden on Paul the Congressman…
His voting record is … it’s horrid — 351 pieces of legislation he sponsored, six came out of committee, and none have ever passed. And if you go back and look, he just regurgitates the same pieces [...]

“The doors open at 7 and they close at 7:15. It would be tragic if Hillary were to win this election in the daytime and somebody were to come in at night and take it away.”
- Bill Clinton, continuing to push the campaign’s meme that caucuses are unfair.
Does he have a point?
Discuss.

Remember, if Hillary doesn’t win both Texas and Ohio, it’s over. And many politicos say she has to take the states by big margins if she wants to catch up with Obama in the delegate race. The math bears that out, but if she does win, I’m betting she keeps going because she’ll say she [...]

in this world (It’s a small world after all), who would want a hard eyed, ball-cutting, arm-twisting, politically sophisticated, articulate, scary-smart policy wonk, who is a cutthroat negotiator, never gives up, figures every angle, a political realist and ruthless bitch sitting in the oval office and leading our country?

Texas.

Ohio.

This podcast covers (1) the CNN debate between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in Texas; (2) John McCain’s lobby friend that the New York times decided to write about; (3) and more…
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Feel free to email us questions/suggestions for next week’s podcast (you can also email an audio file of [...]

Hillary leads, but only by 2%…
“One reason the race appears to be tight is that Texas Democrats are having a hard time choosing between two attractive options,” says CNN polling director Keating Holland.
“Likely Democratic primary voters would be equally happy if either candidate won the nomination, and they don’t see a lot of difference between [...]

They didn’t know about Texas’ mix of popular vote and caucuses. And that could be one reason why Obama could take it.
From Washington Post:
Several top Clinton strategists and fundraisers became alarmed after learning of the state’s unusual provisions during a closed-door strategy meeting this month, according to one person who attended.
What Clinton aides discovered is [...]

Remember, Hill needs to win both Texas and Ohio big if she wants to stay in it, but at least one poll out recently shows Obama in the lead.
First, from American Research Group, Obama 48%, Hillary 42%…
Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama among self-described Democrats 47% to 42%. Obama leads Clinton among self-described independents and Republicans [...]