From CNN: Clinton holds roughly a 10-point advantage over Obama among those in Ohio who decided who to vote for in the last three days. Among those voters who decided before that, Clinton and Obama are split. In Texas, Clinton holds even a larger advantage among late deciders. Those who decided in the last three [...]

From CNN: (CNN) — In what may be bad news for Clinton, Democrats across all four states overwhelmingly say they want super delegates to vote based on which candidate finishes ahead in the pledged delegate count at the end of the primary season. Majorities of Democrats in Texas (62 percent), Ohio (61 percent), Rhode Island [...]

Where is he getting this from? Obama – 453,678 – 58% Clinton – 326,890 – 41% CNN shows this, with 1% voting… Obama – 484,961 – 56% Hillary – 368,373 – 43% How many voters will there be in the Texas primary? In California, there were 4.1 million. In New York, there were only 1.7 [...]

Alter’s problem is not math. It is word comprehension. The problem with his thesis is that he conflates a lead in pledged delegates with “the will of the people”. The pledged delegate total is many things, but the one thing it is not, is the “will of the people”.

Josh Marshall has the scoop… I’m looking at the second wave of exit polls. They show an Obama blowout in Vermont, which was entirely expected and basically dead even in Texas, Ohio and Rhode Island, the latter two of which would be pretty substantial surprises. But again, these are exit polls, and they haven’t been [...]

Texas hasn’t had a relevant primary campaign in over a generation. Maybe that’s why both Democratic candidates seemed so clueless here. They know how to address the Iowa agricultural community, the New Hampshire independent streak, the South Carolina African Americans. They even do pretty well with the myriad of local concerns and interests found within [...]

From Pollster come the trends. First, Texas… To me, this shows the “It’s 3 a.m.” ad is working, even though others say it has little effect on undecideds. Personally, I do think the Texas contest favors Obama because of the popular vote/caucus mix, and I think that’s why he’s going to be in Texas tomorrow [...]

That’s the claim from Mark Penn, so take that for what it’s worth… From TPM: Mark Penn, on a conference call with reporters just now, suggested that that the controversial red-phone-ringing-at-3-A.M. ad is resonating with “millions” of voters. Asked for some evidence of this, Penn asserted that the campaign’s internal polls support the claim. “What [...]

Could mw be right? Could Andrew Sullivan’s worst nightmares come true? Two polls show Hillary closing the gap and even leading in Texas. First, Public Policy Polling (pdf) shows Hill with 50% to Obama’s 44%. Then, Rasumuseen shows a dead heat: The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey, conducted Sunday, finds Barack Obama with a statistically [...]

What else can one make from this remark about the March 4th contests? Meanwhile, Bill Richardson said on Face The Nation today that it’s important for the party to unify behind a nominee soon, rather than continue to have a negative campaign that will further divide the party for the general election against John McCain. [...]

She was stumping for Hillary in Texas and I can’t imagine she will be again any time soon. Of course, Hillary’s campaign may be over soon so this may be a complete non issue. At the very least, Hillary should denounce AND reject the following. From New York Observer: “Suppose John McCain had been Joan [...]

The Story is all that matters to her campaign now. The Story that Clinton wins all the big states except Illinois. The Story that momentum has shifted. The Story that Hillary Clinton is the new “comeback kid“. The Story is all that is needed to provide political cover for the superdelegates to vote for Clinton at the convention.

Me thinks she thinks we be dumb… Senator Obama has campaigned hard in these states. He has spent time meeting editorial boards, courting endorsers, holding rallies, and – of course – making speeches. If he cannot win all of these states with all this effort, there’s a problem. Should Senator Obama fail to score decisive [...]

Yesterday, I went to the polls here in Texas. I gave myself twenty minutes to vote, twice as much time as it usually takes at the local early voting location. Almost an hour later, I finally cast my ballot. The Republican and Democratic voters all waited in the same line but you could tell who [...]

Remember, if Obama wins Texas, it’s all over. That’s been the Clinton campaign’s contention all along, and even Bill said if she didn’t win both Texas and Ohio, she wouldn’t get the nomination. First we have Texas, where Obama is showing surprising strength: The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Obama attracting 48% of the [...]

They say everything is bigger down here in Texas. Everything is also more complicated. The byzantine rules for the state’s upcoming primary must have been developed after a wild night of margaritas and cervezas on 6th Street. When all is said and done, the winner of the popular vote could very easily come out with [...]

Wonkette has an exclusive interview with the man who Ron Paul refuses to debate… Here’s Peden on Paul the Congressman… His voting record is … it’s horrid — 351 pieces of legislation he sponsored, six came out of committee, and none have ever passed. And if you go back and look, he just regurgitates the [...]

“The doors open at 7 and they close at 7:15. It would be tragic if Hillary were to win this election in the daytime and somebody were to come in at night and take it away.” – Bill Clinton, continuing to push the campaign’s meme that caucuses are unfair. Does he have a point? Discuss.

Remember, if Hillary doesn’t win both Texas and Ohio, it’s over. And many politicos say she has to take the states by big margins if she wants to catch up with Obama in the delegate race. The math bears that out, but if she does win, I’m betting she keeps going because she’ll say she [...]

in this world (It’s a small world after all), who would want a hard eyed, ball-cutting, arm-twisting, politically sophisticated, articulate, scary-smart policy wonk, who is a cutthroat negotiator, never gives up, figures every angle, a political realist and ruthless bitch sitting in the oval office and leading our country?