79 electoral votes here for the Illinois senator.
Moving on…

More numbers bring more bad news for McCain.
Now, Big Ten polls the eight states where the Big Ten school are, so some of them (Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota) I’m not going to even bother showing since they’re safely blue.
Instead, I’ll focus on four McCain has been campaigning in recently.
Indiana: +10
Obama 51%
McCain 41%
Ohio: Obama + 12
Obama [...]

First the numbers…
New Hampshire:
Obama 53%, McCain 45%
Obama 51%, McCain 43%, Barr 3%, Nader 1%
Wisconsin:
Obama 51%, McCain 46%
Obama 50%, McCain 42%, Nader 4%, Barr 1%
Ohio:
Obama 50%, McCain 47%
Obama 48%, McCain 45%, Nader 3%, Barr 2%
North Carolina:
Obama 49%, McCain 49%
Obama 49%, McCain 48%, Barr 2%
Indiana:
McCain 51%, Obama 46%
McCain 48%, Obama 46%, Barr 5%
Looks like Barr is [...]

That’s right. The McCain camp actually thinks they can win Wisconsin, Minnesota or Pennsylvania. Failure to win any of these states means he loses.
Huh?
“Our ability to pick off one of those three states is where our fortunes are largely held,” a McCain official said. “These are states where Barack Obama is on the defense.”
McCain [...]

Obama - 50
McCain - 39
Obama loses 2 from last month, but the 11 point margin remains pretty consistent with other polls I’m seeing.
Some demo info…

Women back Obama 56 - 31.
Men back McCain 49 - 43.
White voters back Obama 48 - 42 percent.
Obama leads 60 - 31 among voters 18 to 34.
Obama leads 47 - 43 [...]

Obama - 52%
McCain - 39%
The details…
Wisconsin women likely voters back Obama 53 - 37 percent while men back the Democrat 51 - 40 percent.
White voters back Obama 49 - 42 percent.
He leads 61 - 35 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old, 52 - 39 percent among voters 35 to 54 years [...]

Obama: 50%
McCain: 37%
Some perspective from WisPolitics:
Wisconsin was a key battleground in the presidential contests of 2000 and 2004 and saw extraordinarily tight contests in both years. Al Gore beat George W. Bush by 5,708 votes (0.2 percent) in 2000, and John Kerry bested Bush by 11,384 votes in 2004 (0.38 percent). Goldstein points out, “In [...]

They seem to come in pairs of two lately, don’t they?
DNC member Lena Taylor of Wisconsin…
State Sen. Lena Taylor from Milwaukee announced her support for Obama on Wednesday afternoon. Late Tuesday night University of Wisconsin-Madison student Awais Khaleel announced his endorsement for Obama on a YouTube video.
That makes 11 superdelegates in Wisconsin for Obama with [...]

College Democrats of America President Lauren Wolfe and Vice President Awais Khaleel endorse Obama today via YouTube:

However, since Wolfe is from Michigan, her vote will only count if the DNC comes to some sort of agreement with the state. That’s why I’m only adding 1 to Obama’s total below.
Post-Pennsylvania Delegate Pickups:
Obama - 56.5
Clinton - 14.5 [...]

Looks like he’ll end up finishing the night with a lead of about 13%, which is bad news for Hillary. Her and her team threw some pretty significant attacks at him that dominated the last couple news cycles and it looked like it actually helped him. In fact, if I remember correctly from exit polls [...]

TPM, take it away…

Any predictions?

It shows Clinton leading, but what TPM missed is that this isn’t showing anything new for this particular poll. In fact, this poll is actually good news for Barack because it shows that he gained some ground from the last time they conducted one back on the 6th through the 7th.
At that time, Hillary had [...]

Courtesy of TPM:
ARG: Clinton 49%, Obama 43% (Feb. 16)
Research 200: Obama 47%, Clinton 42% (Feb. 15)
Rasmussen: Obama 47%, Clinton 43% (Feb. 14)
Strategic Vision (R): Obama 45%, Clinton 41% (Feb. 13)
PPP (D): Obama 50%, Clinton 39% (Feb. 12)
One thing they all show pretty consistently is that about 10% of voters haven’t made up their mind yet. [...]

Two reasons for this. A) he really wants to win it and B) he has 4 times the money Hillary has.
From TPM:
In a sign of just how much effort Barack Obama is putting into the Wisconsin primary, he’s vastly outspending Hillary Clinton on ads for the Madison and Milwaukee media markets, which make up the [...]

Why win?
Well first off she’s spending a bunch of money in a state that doesn’t really have a ton of delegates. This should be one of those insignificant states Mark Penn keeps talking about, and yet now it’s somehow extremely significant. Why? Because after 8 Ls, it’s important for her to actually get a W [...]

[Re-published from 2008Central.net. This liveblog on Donklephant will be updated periodically. For the latest please visit the active liveblog at 2008Central.net]
Today, Bill Clinton is campaigning for Hillary Clinton in Madison, Wisconsin. He’s scheduled to speak at 2:15 CST. I’ll be live blogging.
1:15: Alright, I’m here and I have my press credentials. He’s [...]

Expect to see a lot more of this.

Translation: Barack will not do what I want him to do.
Listen, if the two hadn’t already had a gazillion debates already then I’d understand. However, since being challenged by Hillary to debate him he’s agreed to two more debates between Super Tuesday and the beginning of March. That’s [...]