Giuliani Leads Among White Evangelicals?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in Elections, General Politics

Really? Wow.

From the Washington Post:

In the Republican race, former New York mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani, who recently made clear his intentions to seek the presidency, has expanded his lead over Sen. John McCain of Arizona. Giuliani holds a 2 to 1 advantage over McCain among Republicans, according to the poll, more than tripling his margin of a month ago.

The principal reason was a shift among white evangelical Protestants, who now clearly favor Giuliani over McCain. Giuliani among this group of Americans despite his support of abortion rights and gay rights, two issues of great importance to religious conservatives. McCain opposes abortion rights.

More on why McCain is in trouble…

In the latest poll, the former New York mayor led among Republicans with 44 percent to McCain’s 21 percent. Last month, Giuliani led with 34 percent to McCain’s 27 percent.

When Republicans were asked to rate Giuliani, McCain and Romney on a series of attributes, Giuliani was seen as the strongest leader, the most inspiring, the candidate with the best chance of winning the general election, the most honest and trustworthy and the one closest to them on the issues. McCain was seen as having the best experience to be president, but only by a narrow margin.

Only by a narrow margin. Looks like McCain peaked early and now a younger, more interesting Giuliani is moving in. What will John do?

And here’s an interesting tidbit about Gingrich…

Former House speaker Newt Gingrich ran third in the latest poll with 15 percent, while former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney was fourth with 4 percent. Gingrich has not said he definitely plans to run, and without him, Giuliani’s lead would increase even more, to 53 percent compared with McCain’s 23 percent.

Hmm, could McCain convince Gingrich to run so he could siphon off votes from Rudy if he promised Newt a spot in his cabinet? Stranger things have happened.

Okay, that’s enough about Rudy for one day.


This entry was posted on Tuesday, February 27th, 2007 and is filed under Elections, General Politics. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

3 Responses to “Giuliani Leads Among White Evangelicals?”

  1. John Free Says:

    I’m a white Evngelical and this is hogwash…

    White Evangelicals are pumped up about Duncan Hunter…Hello???

  2. Marc Cooper » Blog Archive » McCain Limps In Says:

    [...] McCain Limps In OK, so John McCain has made it official, using the David Letterman show to announce his formal run for the presidency. Cute. McCain is clearly trying to recapture some of that free-wheelin’, I’m-a-fun-guy sort of aura that used to surround him before he became the grim grump of the lastyear or so. His announcement comes at an odd time, just as the latest Gallup Poll shows him slipping dangerously behind Rudy Giuliani (21% to 44% among Republicans). Looks like McCain has a long, hard slog  in front of him — straight uphill. No question that he’s played his hand very poorly. After alienating the Republican Right on a series of issues –from the war to immigration– his pro-Bush pivot, his pandering to the Fallwellites, his declaration against Roe V. Wade have come to naught. Giuliani has defied the conventional wisdom and in spite of his pro-gay, pro-choice, anti-gun positions, he is actually leading McCain among White Evangelicals. No head scratching necessary. Some Republicans have a long memory and they were not and are not about to forgive McCain his public transgressions against the party line. And Rudy, even though a social moderate, has never once broken the so-called 11th commandment by publicly criticizing another Republican. So the tin-hatters and the bible-thumpers are lining up with Rudy under the banners of loyalty and “electability,” much the same way liberal Democrats did with Kerry in 2004. With Rudy surging early, the only hope McCain has is to establish himself even farther to the right and covertly (or overtly) encourage so-called independent expenditure campaigns to Swift-boat Rudy as some sort of unreliable liberal. While the only available strategy, it’s also one fraught with peril. It’s a great way to permanently estrange the centrists, independents and moderate Republicans that were once McCain’s strongest and most enthusiastic base. And the more vile the GOP primaries are, the more intense the attacks are on Giuliani’s social positions, the more likely it is that centrist voters will be pushed toward the Democrats in the general election. McCain’s greatest appeal, five years ago when he was much more appealing, wasn’t so much that he was a maverick or a moderate, but that he came off as being unusually frank and straightforward as pols go. He has recklessly squandered that capital by his sudden embrace of Bush and Bushismo, for which he’s now paying a rising price. [...]

  3. Jim Corbett Says:

    Actually, white evangelicasls and common sense conservatives are excited about Sam Brownback. Just ask them. Brownback is on the rise.

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